Robbery trends have been inconsistent, with several years reporting zero incidents. The highest number of robberies was 2 in 2012 and 2014, representing 0.03% of state robberies in both years. The robbery rate per 1,000 people was 0.16 in 2012 and 0.16 in 2014, showing no significant change relative to population growth.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent violent crime in the city. The number of aggravated assaults fluctuated, peaking at 8 incidents in 2022, which represented 0.03% of state aggravated assaults. The rate per 1,000 people for aggravated assault was highest in 2017 at 0.52 and in 2022 at 0.50, indicating a relatively stable rate despite population growth.

There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 1,121 per square mile in 2010 to 1,527 per square mile in 2022, there was a general upward trend in violent crimes, particularly noticeable in the later years. Additionally, there seems to be a relationship between racial demographics and crime rates. As the white population percentage decreased from 84% in 2017 to 76% in 2022, and the black population percentage increased from 13% to 19% over the same period, violent crime incidents increased.

Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's projected that by 2029, the city may see a continued increase in violent crimes, potentially reaching 12-15 incidents annually if current trends persist. This projection assumes continued population growth and demographic shifts similar to those observed in recent years.

In summary, Oakland has experienced significant population growth alongside fluctuating violent crime rates. While individual categories of violent crime show inconsistent patterns, there is an overall trend of increasing incidents, particularly in aggravated assaults. The city's changing demographics and increasing population density appear to be factors influencing these trends. As Oakland continues to grow, addressing these evolving crime patterns will be crucial for maintaining public safety and community well-being.