Robbery trends in Oakland show minimal fluctuation. The city reported no robberies from 2010 to 2013. In 2014 and 2015, there was one robbery each year, representing a rate of 0.73 and 0.66 robberies per 1,000 residents, respectively. The city's contribution to state robbery statistics peaked at 0.02% during these years. By 2017 and 2018, robberies had returned to zero. This pattern suggests that robbery is an infrequent occurrence in the city, with sporadic incidents not indicative of a persistent problem.

Aggravated assault has been the most variable violent crime in Oakland. From zero incidents in 2010 and 2011, it rose to one case in 2012 and two cases in 2013 and 2014. This represented a peak rate of 1.45 aggravated assaults per 1,000 residents in 2014. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics reached 0.01% during these years. After 2014, the numbers fluctuated between zero and one incident per year, with no reported cases in 2018. This trend suggests that while aggravated assault occurs more frequently than other violent crimes in the city, it remains relatively low and inconsistent.

When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, the data suggests a weak relationship between population density and crime rates. As the population density increased from 2,203 per square mile in 2010 to 2,584 per square mile in 2018, there was no consistent corresponding increase in violent crimes. The racial distribution of the city, predominantly white (90% in 2022), has not shown a strong correlation with crime rates either.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next seven years (up to 2029, which we'll refer to as five years from now), it's challenging to make accurate predictions given the low numbers and inconsistent patterns. However, based on the historical data, it's reasonable to expect that violent crime rates will likely remain low, with potential sporadic incidents of aggravated assault or robbery, but continuing to maintain zero or near-zero rates for murder and rape.

In summary, Oakland, Missouri, presents a profile of a small community with very low violent crime rates. The most significant discoveries are the consistent absence of murders and rapes, and the infrequent occurrences of robberies and aggravated assaults. These findings suggest that Oakland maintains a relatively safe environment for its residents, despite its growing population. The challenge for the city will be to maintain these low crime rates as it continues to develop and potentially attract more residents in the coming years.