Loading Content...
Violent Crime Trends in North Newton, Kansas: A Decade of Low Rates Amidst Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
North Newton, located in Kansas, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. With a population that has grown from 1,297 in 2010 to 1,573 in 2022, representing a 21.3% increase, the city has experienced fluctuations in its violent crime rates. The total number of violent crimes has varied, ranging from 0 to 4 incidents per year, with no clear consistent trend over the period.
Analyzing murder trends in the city reveals a consistent pattern: there have been no reported murders from 2011 to 2020. This statistic remains unchanged despite the population growth, maintaining a murder rate of 0 per 1,000 people throughout the decade. The percentage of state crime for murder consistently stands at 0%, indicating that North Newton has not contributed to the state's murder statistics during this period.
Rape incidents in the city have shown some variability. In 2014, there were 2 reported rapes, which equated to 1.33 incidents per 1,000 people and represented 0.25% of the state's total rape cases. In 2015, this decreased to 1 incident (0.70 per 1,000 people), accounting for 0.07% of state cases. No rapes were reported in other years with available data. This fluctuation suggests that while rape is not a persistent issue, isolated incidents can significantly impact the city's crime statistics due to its small population.
Robbery trends in North Newton show a consistent pattern of zero incidents from 2011 to 2020. This translates to a robbery rate of 0 per 1,000 people and 0% of the state's robbery cases throughout the observed period. The absence of robberies, despite population growth, indicates a relatively safe environment in terms of this particular crime category.
Aggravated assault trends have shown some variation. In 2011, there was 1 incident (0.75 per 1,000 people), representing 0.02% of state cases. The number peaked in 2016 with 4 incidents (2.67 per 1,000 people), accounting for 0.07% of state cases. In 2020, there was 1 incident (0.70 per 1,000 people), representing 0.04% of state cases. These fluctuations suggest that while aggravated assault is not a chronic problem, it does occur sporadically in the city.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate relationship between population density and violent crime incidents. As the population density increased from 1,422 per square mile in 2010 to 1,725 in 2022, there were years with higher crime incidents, particularly in 2014 and 2016. However, this correlation is not consistent across all years, suggesting other factors may influence crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), based on historical data and current trends, it's projected that North Newton will likely continue to experience low levels of violent crime. The model suggests an average of 1-2 violent crime incidents per year, with potential fluctuations between 0-4 incidents annually. This forecast assumes that current socio-economic conditions and law enforcement efforts remain relatively stable.
In summary, North Newton has maintained relatively low violent crime rates despite its population growth over the past decade. The absence of murders and robberies, coupled with sporadic incidents of rape and aggravated assault, paints a picture of a generally safe community. However, the impact of individual crime incidents can be significant due to the city's small size. Moving forward, continued vigilance and community-based crime prevention strategies will be crucial in maintaining the city's overall safety and low crime rates.
