Robbery trends have shown some improvement over the years. The number of robberies decreased from 24 in 2010 to 13 in 2022, a 45.83% reduction. The robbery rate per 1,000 people declined from 0.75 in 2010 to 0.37 in 2022. However, the city's percentage of state robberies increased slightly from 0.9% in 2010 to 1.16% in 2022, suggesting that while local efforts may have reduced robberies, the city's share of state-wide robberies has marginally increased.

Aggravated assault incidents have fluctuated but show an overall decrease. The number of aggravated assaults dropped from 27 in 2010 to 17 in 2022, a 37.04% decrease. The rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.85 in 2010 to 0.48 in 2022. The city's percentage of state aggravated assaults decreased from 0.32% to 0.21% over the same period, indicating a positive trend in reducing this type of violent crime both locally and relative to state figures.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 1,497 people per square mile in 2010 to 1,658 in 2022, violent crime rates initially decreased but then stabilized. This suggests that while the city became more densely populated, it managed to maintain relatively steady crime rates.

Racial demographics also show some correlation with crime trends. The percentage of white residents increased from 70% in 2013 to 74% in 2022, while the percentage of Black residents decreased from 21% to 18% over the same period. This shift coincided with the overall decrease in violent crimes, though a direct causal relationship cannot be established without further analysis.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can expect the following: 1. Murder rates may continue to fluctuate but are likely to remain between 1-4 incidents per year. 2. Rape incidents could stabilize around 8-10 cases annually. 3. Robbery rates may continue their downward trend, potentially reaching 10-12 incidents per year. 4. Aggravated assaults might stabilize around 15-20 cases annually.

In summary, North Augusta has shown mixed results in addressing violent crime over the past decade. While robberies and aggravated assaults have decreased, murders and rapes have seen concerning increases. The city's ability to maintain relatively stable crime rates despite population growth is noteworthy. However, the rising percentage of state-wide crimes in certain categories suggests that continued focus on crime prevention and community safety initiatives will be crucial for North Augusta's future development and the well-being of its residents.