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Violent Crime Trends in Nixa, Missouri: A Decade of Growth and Resilience
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Nixa, located in Missouri, has experienced notable changes in violent crime trends alongside significant population growth over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated, with 33 incidents reported in 2010 and 18 in 2022, marking a 45.45% decrease. During this same period, the population grew from 26,189 to 32,597, representing a 24.47% increase.
Murder rates in the city have remained relatively low, with most years reporting zero incidents. However, there were isolated cases in 2014, 2019, 2020, and 2021, each with one murder reported. The murder rate per 1,000 people peaked at 0.034 in 2014 and stood at 0.031 in 2021. Despite these occurrences, the city's contribution to the state's total murders remained minimal, with the highest percentage being 0.3% in 2014.
Rape incidents have shown variability over the years. The highest number of reported rapes was 8 in 2017, while the lowest was 0 in 2021. The rape rate per 1,000 people fluctuated, peaking at 0.264 in 2017 and dropping to 0 in 2021. The city's contribution to state rape cases varied, with the highest being 0.47% in 2010 and the lowest at 0% in 2021. The most recent data for 2022 shows 6 reported rapes, accounting for 0.28% of the state's total.
Robbery trends in the city have generally decreased over time. The highest number of robberies was 7 in 2010, dropping to 0 in 2020 and 2022. The robbery rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.267 in 2010 to 0 in 2022. The city's contribution to state robbery cases has also diminished, from 0.13% in 2010 to 0% in 2022, indicating an improvement in this area of violent crime.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of incidents fluctuated, with a high of 25 in 2020 and a low of 7 in 2021. The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people ranged from 0.802 in 2010 to 0.216 in 2021. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault cases has varied, peaking at 0.15% in 2010 and dropping to 0.04% in 2021. The most recent data for 2022 shows 12 aggravated assaults, accounting for 0.07% of the state's total.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 2,816 per square mile in 2010 to 3,506 in 2022, the overall violent crime rate per 1,000 people decreased from 1.26 to 0.55. This suggests that despite growing denser, the city has managed to reduce its violent crime rate.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends, it's estimated that by 2029, the city may see a continued slight decrease in overall violent crime rates if current trends persist. The murder rate is likely to remain low, with possibly 0-1 incidents per year. Rape and robbery rates may stabilize at their current low levels, while aggravated assault could fluctuate but potentially remain below 20 incidents annually.
In summary, Nixa has demonstrated a general improvement in violent crime rates despite significant population growth. The most notable changes include a substantial decrease in robberies and fluctuating but generally decreasing rates of aggravated assault. While isolated incidents of murder have occurred, they remain rare. The city's contribution to state-wide violent crimes has generally decreased across all categories, suggesting effective local law enforcement strategies. As the community continues to grow, maintaining these positive trends will be crucial for ensuring the safety and well-being of its residents.
