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Violent Crime Trends in Niangua, Missouri: A Small City's Remarkable Safety Record Amid Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Niangua, Missouri, a small city with a population of 1,239 in 2022, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. Over the years, this city has experienced notable fluctuations in both its population and crime rates. The total number of violent crimes in Niangua has remained remarkably low, with only one reported incident in 2010 and no reported violent crimes in subsequent years. This represents a 100% decrease in violent crime over the analyzed period. Concurrently, the population has grown by approximately 25% from 991 in 2010 to 1,239 in 2022.
Regarding murder trends, the city has maintained a consistent record of zero murders throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022. This stability is particularly noteworthy given the population growth. The murder rate per 1,000 people has remained at zero, and the city has consistently accounted for 0% of the state's murders. This absence of murders speaks to the relatively safe nature of the community despite its growth.
Similarly, rape incidents in the city have been non-existent from 2010 to 2022. The rape rate per 1,000 people has consistently been zero, and the city has not contributed to the state's rape statistics. This sustained absence of reported rapes is a positive indicator of community safety, especially considering the population increase over the years.
The robbery trend in Niangua mirrors that of murder and rape, with no reported incidents from 2010 to 2022. The robbery rate per 1,000 people has remained at zero, and the city has not contributed to the state's robbery statistics. This consistent lack of robberies, even as the population grew, suggests a strong sense of security within the community.
Aggravated assault is the only category of violent crime that has shown any activity in Niangua during the analyzed period. In 2010, there was one reported case of aggravated assault, accounting for 0.01% of the state's total. This translates to a rate of approximately 1.01 aggravated assaults per 1,000 people for that year. However, from 2011 to 2022, no aggravated assaults were reported, bringing the rate back to zero and the state contribution to 0%. This dramatic decrease and subsequent maintenance of zero aggravated assaults is particularly impressive given the population growth.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, the most notable observation is the lack of a strong correlation between population growth and crime rates. Despite a 25% increase in population from 2010 to 2022, violent crime has remained at zero since 2011. This suggests that the city has managed to maintain its safety even as it grew.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the consistent zero-crime rate since 2011. Based on this historical data, the most likely prediction is that Niangua will continue to experience very low to no violent crime in the coming years, assuming no significant changes in socioeconomic factors or law enforcement practices.
In summary, Niangua presents a remarkable case of a growing community that has effectively maintained an extremely low violent crime rate. The most significant finding is the complete absence of reported violent crimes since 2011, despite a 25% population increase. This trend suggests that Niangua has successfully fostered a safe environment for its residents, making it an exemplar for small cities in maintaining public safety amid growth.
