Robbery incidents in the city followed the same pattern as murder and rape, with zero reported cases from 2016 to 2018. The robbery rate per 1,000 people stayed at 0, and Neligh's contribution to state robbery statistics remained at 0%. This consistent absence of robbery incidents suggests a very low risk of property-related violent crime in the city.

Aggravated assault showed the only variation in violent crime statistics for Neligh. In 2016 and 2018, there were no reported cases, maintaining a rate of 0 per 1,000 people. However, in 2017, the city experienced 3 aggravated assault incidents. This spike increased the rate to approximately 1.81 per 1,000 people (based on the 2017 population of 1,660). Notably, these 3 cases represented 0.15% of Nebraska's aggravated assaults for that year. This temporary increase suggests a brief period of heightened interpersonal violence, though it quickly returned to zero the following year.

When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other city metrics, there appears to be a weak relationship between population density and aggravated assault. The population density decreased from 1,139 per square mile in 2016 to 1,135 in 2017 when the assaults occurred, and then increased to 1,145 in 2018 when assaults returned to zero. However, this correlation is not strong enough to draw definitive conclusions.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests that Neligh is likely to maintain its low violent crime rates. The consistent zero rates for murder, rape, and robbery over the observed period indicate a high probability of these crimes remaining at or near zero. For aggravated assault, the isolated spike in 2017 followed by a return to zero suggests that such incidents may occur sporadically but are unlikely to become a persistent issue.

In summary, Neligh demonstrates a remarkably low violent crime profile. The most significant discovery is the city's ability to maintain zero incidents across most violent crime categories, with only a brief spike in aggravated assaults in 2017. This suggests that Neligh has effective crime prevention strategies in place, contributing to a safe living environment for its residents. The city's minimal impact on state crime statistics further underscores its status as a relatively safe community within Nebraska.