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Violent Crime Trends in Napier Field, Alabama: A Small Town's Stable Safety Record
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Napier Field in Alabama presents an interesting case study for violent crime trends in a small community. With a population of 298 in 2022, this tiny town has experienced fluctuations in both its population and crime rates over the years. The total number of violent crimes has varied, ranging from a high of 4 in 2013 to a low of 1 in 2012, with the most recent data showing 2 violent crimes in 2022. This represents a 50% decrease from 2013 to 2022. Meanwhile, the population has remained relatively stable, with a slight decrease from 304 in 2010 to 298 in 2022, representing a 1.97% decline over this period.
In examining murder trends, Napier Field has consistently reported zero murders throughout the available data from 2010 to 2022. This stability in the absence of murders is noteworthy for a small community and represents 0% of the state's murder rate consistently. The murder rate per 1,000 people has remained at zero, indicating a very safe environment in terms of homicides.
Rape incidents in the city have been rare, with only one reported case in 2013, representing 0.09% of the state's rape crimes that year. This translates to a rate of approximately 3.45 rapes per 1,000 people in 2013. Since then, no other rape cases have been reported, bringing the rate back to zero in subsequent years, including 2022.
Robbery trends in Napier Field show a consistent pattern of zero incidents from 2010 to 2022. This stability in the absence of robberies is notable and represents 0% of the state's robbery rate throughout the period. The robbery rate per 1,000 people has remained at zero, suggesting a very low risk of such crimes in the community.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. In 2010, there were 3 cases, representing 0.05% of the state's aggravated assaults. This number fluctuated over the years, dropping to 1 in 2012 (0.01% of state total), rising to 3 again in 2013 (0.03% of state total), and then settling at 2 cases in 2022 (0.02% of state total). The rate per 1,000 people has varied accordingly, from about 9.87 per 1,000 in 2010 to 6.71 per 1,000 in 2022, showing an overall decrease despite population fluctuations.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As population density increased from 1,194 per square mile in 2010 to 1,171 in 2022, violent crime rates showed some fluctuation but generally remained low. There's also a potential correlation between racial demographics and crime rates. As the percentage of Black residents increased from 17% in 2013 to 38% in 2022, there was a slight increase in aggravated assaults, though the overall violent crime rate remained relatively stable.
Applying predictive models based on historical trends, it's forecasted that by 2029 (five years from now), Napier Field may experience a slight increase in violent crimes, potentially reaching 3 incidents per year. This projection assumes a continuation of current trends and stable population growth.
In summary, Napier Field has maintained a relatively low and stable violent crime rate over the years, with aggravated assault being the primary concern. The absence of murders and robberies, combined with rare occurrences of rape, paints a picture of a generally safe small town. However, the slight uptick in aggravated assaults and the changing demographic landscape suggest a need for continued vigilance and community-based crime prevention strategies to maintain the overall low crime rates in this Alabama community.
