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Violent Crime Trends in Mountain View, Missouri: A Decade of Fluctuations Amid Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Mountain View, located in Missouri, has experienced fluctuating violent crime rates alongside modest population growth over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes decreased by 30%, from 20 to 14 incidents, while the population increased by 13.4% from 3,671 to 4,162 residents.
Murder trends in the city have been sporadic. There were no murders reported from 2010 to 2012, followed by one incident in 2013, representing 0.33% of the state's murders that year. The city then experienced no murders until 2022, when another single incident occurred, accounting for 0.19% of the state's total. This translates to a murder rate of 0.24 per 1,000 residents in 2022, up from 0 in previous years. Despite the recent occurrence, the overall murder rate remains low relative to the population growth.
Rape incidents have fluctuated over the years. In 2010, there was 1 reported case (0.09% of state total), increasing to 3 cases in 2016 (0.16% of state total), and then to 5 cases in 2022 (0.24% of state total). The rape rate per 1,000 residents increased from 0.27 in 2010 to 1.20 in 2022, indicating a significant rise relative to population growth. This trend suggests an increasing proportion of the state's rape cases occurring in the city.
Robbery trends show minimal activity. There were 2 robberies in 2010 (0.04% of state total), followed by sporadic single incidents in 2013, 2014, and 2020. In 2022, no robberies were reported. The robbery rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 0.54 in 2010 to 0 in 2022, indicating an improvement in this area of violent crime relative to population growth.
Aggravated assault cases have shown a general decline. In 2010, there were 17 cases (0.12% of state total), peaking at 19 cases in 2014 (0.13% of state total), and then decreasing to 8 cases in 2022 (0.05% of state total). The rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 4.63 in 2010 to 1.92 in 2022, suggesting a significant improvement relative to population growth.
There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As population density increased from 979 per square mile in 2010 to 1,110 in 2022, the overall violent crime rate decreased. This suggests that the city has managed to maintain relatively low crime rates despite increasing urbanization.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a potential slight increase in overall violent crimes, primarily driven by the recent uptick in rape cases. However, aggravated assaults are expected to continue their downward trend. The murder rate is projected to remain low but unpredictable due to its sporadic nature in small communities.
In summary, Mountain View has shown resilience in managing violent crime rates amidst population growth. While rape incidents have increased, other violent crimes, particularly aggravated assaults, have decreased significantly. The city's ability to maintain low crime rates despite increasing density suggests effective law enforcement strategies and community engagement. However, continued vigilance and targeted interventions may be necessary to address the rising rape incidents and maintain the overall positive trend in violent crime reduction.
