Robbery trends in Mount Airy also show a consistent pattern of zero incidents from 2010 to 2018. Similar to the murder rate, the robbery rate per 1,000 residents remained at 0, and the city's contribution to the state's robbery statistics was 0% throughout the observed period.

Aggravated assault shows the most variation among violent crime categories in Mount Airy. In 2010, there were 2 incidents, representing 0.02% of the state's total. This increased to 3 incidents (0.03% of state total) in 2013, then decreased to 1 incident (0.01% of state total) in 2014. After two years of no reported aggravated assaults in 2016 and 2017, the number spiked to 4 incidents in 2018, accounting for 0.05% of the state's total. The rate per 1,000 residents fluctuated accordingly, peaking at approximately 1.44 per 1,000 in 2018, up from 0.77 per 1,000 in 2010.

When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, a notable relationship emerges with population density. As the population density increased from 1,076 per square mile in 2010 to 1,146 per square mile in 2018, there was a corresponding increase in aggravated assaults, particularly evident in the 2018 spike. However, it's important to note that this correlation is not perfect, as years with higher density (such as 2012-2015) did not always correspond to higher crime rates.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), based on the historical data and assuming current trends continue, we might expect murder and robbery rates to remain at or near zero, given their consistent absence in the historical data. Aggravated assaults may continue to fluctuate, potentially averaging around 2-3 incidents per year, with occasional spikes similar to 2018. The overall violent crime rate is likely to remain relatively low, with potential for slight increases correlating with any future population density increases.

In summary, Mount Airy has maintained a relatively low violent crime rate over the observed period, with aggravated assault being the primary concern. The city's contribution to state-wide violent crime statistics remains minimal, never exceeding 0.05% in any category. While the spike in aggravated assaults in 2018 warrants attention, the overall trend suggests a generally safe community with infrequent violent crime occurrences. The correlation between population density and aggravated assaults highlights the importance of community-focused crime prevention strategies as the city continues to grow.