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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Morris, Alabama, a small city with a population of 2,524 in 2022, has experienced significant fluctuations in violent crime trends from 2010 to 2022. The total number of violent crimes ranged from a high of 5 incidents in 2012 and 2013 to a low of 0 in 2014 and 2022. During this period, the city's population grew by approximately 11.4%, from 2,265 in 2010 to 2,524 in 2022.
Murder trends in Morris have remained exceptionally low, with only one recorded incident in 2015. This single case represented 0.38% of the state's total murders that year, with a murder rate of approximately 0.41 per 1,000 people. The rarity of such incidents makes it challenging to establish a meaningful trend or relationship with population growth.
Rape incidents in the city have been sporadic, with two cases reported in 2013 and single cases in 2016, 2017, and 2018. The highest percentage of state rape cases attributed to Morris was 0.17% in 2013, with a peak rape rate of approximately 0.81 per 1,000 people in the same year. There is no clear correlation between rape incidents and population trends, given the low and inconsistent numbers.
Robbery in Morris has been infrequent, with two incidents in 2012 and single incidents in 2011, 2013, and 2015. The highest percentage of state robberies attributed to the city was 0.05% in 2012, with a peak robbery rate of approximately 0.82 per 1,000 people in the same year. Like other violent crimes, robbery incidents do not show a clear relationship with population changes due to their low frequency.
Aggravated assault has been the most common violent crime in Morris, with peaks of 4 incidents in 2010 and 3 incidents in 2011, 2012, and 2017. The highest percentage of state aggravated assaults attributed to the city was 0.07% in 2010, with a peak rate of approximately 1.77 per 1,000 people in the same year. While there have been fluctuations, there is no clear trend correlating with population changes.
When examining potential correlations, the most notable relationship appears to be between violent crime and racial demographics. The city has maintained a predominantly white population, consistently above 93% from 2013 to 2022. During this period, violent crime rates remained relatively low, suggesting a possible correlation between demographic stability and low crime rates. However, it is important to note that correlation does not imply causation, and other factors may contribute to these trends.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the low number of incidents and significant fluctuations. However, based on the overall trend of decreasing violent crimes in recent years, with 0 incidents reported in 2022, it is reasonable to predict that Morris may continue to experience very low violent crime rates, potentially averaging 1-2 incidents per year over the next five years, barring any significant changes in local conditions or demographics.
In summary, Morris has maintained relatively low violent crime rates over the past decade, with aggravated assault being the most common offense. The city's predominantly white demographic composition has remained stable, coinciding with low crime rates. While individual crime categories show fluctuations, the overall trend suggests a generally safe community. However, due to the small population size, even minor changes in incident numbers can result in significant statistical variations, making long-term predictions challenging for this small Alabama city.