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Violent Crime Trends in Morehouse, Missouri: A Decade of Fluctuations in a Growing Community
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Morehouse, Missouri, is a small community that has experienced fluctuating violent crime rates alongside population changes over the past decade. From 2010 to 2020, the total number of violent crimes in the city varied, ranging from 0 to 4 incidents per year. During this same period, the population grew from 797 in 2010 to 951.5 in 2020, representing an increase of approximately 19.4%.
Regarding murder trends, the city reported only one incident in 2020, which accounted for 0.16% of the state's total murders that year. This single event translates to a rate of approximately 1.05 murders per 1,000 residents in 2020. Prior to 2020, there were no reported murders in Morehouse. While this isolated incident is concerning, it's important to note that in small communities, a single event can significantly impact crime rates and percentages.
The data provided does not show any reported rape cases in Morehouse from 2010 to 2020. This absence of reported rapes could indicate effective prevention measures or potential underreporting issues. However, without more context, it's difficult to draw definitive conclusions about the city's sexual assault trends.
Similarly, robbery rates in Morehouse remained at zero throughout the recorded period. This consistent absence of reported robberies suggests that the city has maintained a relatively safe environment in terms of property-related violent crimes.
Aggravated assault trends in the city show some fluctuation. In 2010, there were 4 reported cases, which decreased to 2 in 2011. From 2012 to 2016, no aggravated assaults were reported. A single case was reported in 2013 and again in 2017, with the most recent data showing one case in 2020. The rate of aggravated assault per 1,000 residents has generally decreased over time, from approximately 5.02 in 2010 to 1.05 in 2020, aligning with the population increase. The city's contribution to the state's total aggravated assaults has remained minimal, never exceeding 0.03% during the recorded period.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, there appears to be a weak relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 991 per square mile in 2010 to 1,183 in 2020, violent crime rates did not show a consistent pattern of increase or decrease. The median rent, which rose from $523 in 2013 to $562 in 2020, also doesn't show a strong correlation with violent crime trends.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests that Morehouse may continue to experience low but potentially fluctuating rates of violent crime. Based on historical data, the city might expect between 0 to 2 violent crimes per year, with aggravated assault remaining the most likely form of violent crime. However, given the small population size, even a single incident can cause significant statistical variations.
In summary, Morehouse has maintained relatively low violent crime rates over the past decade, with aggravated assault being the most prevalent form of violent crime. The isolated murder case in 2020 stands out as an anomaly in an otherwise stable crime environment. While the city has experienced population growth, this has not translated into a consistent increase in violent crime. Moving forward, maintaining community-based crime prevention strategies and addressing any underlying socioeconomic factors will be crucial for Morehouse to continue its overall trend of low violent crime rates.
