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Violent Crime Trends in Montpelier, Idaho: A Decade of Stability Amidst Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Montpelier, located in Idaho, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. Over the period from 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated, starting at 8 in 2010 and ending at 6 in 2022, representing a 25% decrease. During this same timeframe, the population grew from 2,127 in 2010 to 2,201 in 2022, a modest increase of 3.48%.
The murder rate in the city has remained consistently at zero throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022. This stability in the absence of murders, despite the population growth, indicates a persistently safe environment in terms of homicides. The murder rate per 1,000 people has therefore remained at 0, and the city has consistently contributed 0% to the state's murder statistics.
Rape incidents have fluctuated over the years, ranging from 0 to 2 cases annually. The highest number of reported rapes (2) occurred in 2015, 2016, and 2019. In 2022, there were no reported rape cases, down from 1 in 2020. The rate per 1,000 people has varied accordingly, reaching a peak of 0.90 per 1,000 in 2015 and 2016, and dropping to 0 in 2022. The city's contribution to the state's rape statistics has also fluctuated, peaking at 0.53% in 2010 and falling to 0% in 2022.
Robbery has been virtually non-existent in the city, with zero reported cases throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022. This consistency suggests a very low risk of robbery for residents and visitors alike. The robbery rate per 1,000 people has remained at 0, and the city has consistently contributed 0% to the state's robbery statistics.
Aggravated assault cases have shown the most variation among violent crimes in the city. The number of cases ranged from a high of 8 in 2014 to a low of 1 in 2016, 2018, and 2020. In 2022, there were 6 reported cases of aggravated assault. The rate per 1,000 people peaked at 3.60 in 2014 and was 2.73 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault statistics has fluctuated, reaching a high of 0.48% in 2014 and standing at 0.25% in 2022.
There appears to be a moderate correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As population density increased from 917 per square mile in 2010 to 949 per square mile in 2022, there were fluctuations in violent crime rates, but no consistent trend. Median rent showed a general upward trend from $457 in 2013 to $567 in 2022, but this does not appear to have a strong correlation with violent crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can anticipate that the overall violent crime rate is likely to remain relatively stable, with potential minor fluctuations. The absence of murders and robberies is expected to continue, while rape and aggravated assault cases may show slight variations but are unlikely to increase significantly given the historical trends.
In summary, Montpelier has maintained a relatively low and stable violent crime rate over the past decade, despite modest population growth. The most notable trend has been the fluctuation in aggravated assault cases, which have had the most significant impact on the overall violent crime statistics. The city's contribution to state crime percentages has remained consistently low across all categories of violent crime, reflecting its status as a relatively safe community within Idaho.
