Robbery occurrences were even rarer, with only two incidents reported over the decade - one each in 2014 and 2015. These cases represented 0.02% of the state's total robberies in their respective years. The robbery rate per 1,000 residents was approximately 0.27 for both years. The infrequency of robberies makes it difficult to draw meaningful conclusions about trends or population correlations.

Aggravated assault emerged as the most prevalent violent crime in the city. The number of cases rose from 1 in 2010 to a peak of 20 in 2016, before declining to zero in 2019. This represents a significant fluctuation, with the rate per 1,000 residents reaching a high of 5.46 in 2016. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault cases varied, peaking at 0.12% in 2016. The trend shows a general increase until 2016, followed by a sharp decline, which doesn't directly correlate with population changes.

Analyzing correlations, there appears to be a moderate relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 1,062 per square mile in 2010 to 1,099 in 2022, there was a general upward trend in violent crimes until 2016, followed by a decline. This suggests that other factors beyond population density may have influenced crime rates in recent years.

The racial composition of Montgomery City has shown slight changes, with the white population decreasing from 95% in 2013 to 87% in 2022, while other racial groups, particularly those identifying as two or more races, increased. However, there's no clear correlation between these demographic shifts and violent crime trends.

Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's challenging to forecast with certainty due to the significant fluctuations and recent decline to zero reported violent crimes. However, if the trend of the past few years continues, Montgomery City might expect to maintain low violent crime rates over the next five years, potentially averaging between 0-5 incidents annually through 2029.

In conclusion, Montgomery City has experienced a complex pattern of violent crime over the past decade, with aggravated assault being the primary concern. The recent dramatic decrease in violent crimes, culminating in zero reported incidents in 2019, suggests a positive trend for community safety. However, the city's small population means that even a few incidents can significantly impact crime rates. Continued monitoring and community-based crime prevention efforts will be crucial in maintaining and improving upon this recent positive trend in Montgomery City.