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Violent Crime Trends in Mission Hills, Kansas: A City with Zero Murders
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Mission Hills, Kansas, is a small community with a population of 4,411 as of 2022. Over the past decade, the city has experienced fluctuations in violent crime rates alongside modest population changes. From 2011 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes increased from 0 to 3, representing a significant percentage increase, while the population grew slightly from 4,345 to 4,411, an increase of about 1.5%.
Murder rates in the city have remained consistently at zero throughout the reported period from 2011 to 2022. This stability in the absence of murders, despite the population growth, indicates a persistently safe environment in terms of homicides. The murder rate per 1,000 people has remained at 0, and the city has consistently accounted for 0% of the state's murders.
Rape incidents in Mission Hills were nonexistent from 2011 to 2021. However, in 2022, there was one reported case of rape. This single incident translates to a rate of approximately 0.23 rapes per 1,000 people in 2022. The city's contribution to the state's total rape cases rose from 0% to 0.1% in 2022. While this increase is notable, it's important to consider the small population size when interpreting these statistics.
Robbery trends in the city have been sporadic. There was one reported robbery in 2012, but no other robberies were recorded in the available data from 2011 to 2022. The 2012 incident represented 0.07% of the state's robberies for that year. With a population of 4,402 in 2012, this single robbery equated to a rate of about 0.23 robberies per 1,000 people. The absence of robberies in other years suggests that this type of crime is rare in the community.
Aggravated assault has shown the most variability among violent crimes in Mission Hills. There were no reported cases from 2011 to 2014. In 2015, there was one case, followed by none in 2016. The city saw one case again in 2019, two in 2020, a spike to nine cases in 2021, and then a decrease to two cases in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people peaked in 2021 at about 2 assaults per 1,000 residents. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assaults has fluctuated, reaching a high of 0.29% in 2021 before dropping to 0.03% in 2022.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a weak positive relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 2,132 per square mile in 2011 to 2,165 per square mile in 2022, there was a general upward trend in violent crimes, though not consistently. The racial distribution shows a slight decrease in the white population from 98% in 2013 to 90% in 2022, with a corresponding increase in Asian residents from 0% to 6%. However, there isn't a clear correlation between these demographic shifts and violent crime trends.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that by 2029, Mission Hills may experience a slight increase in violent crimes, potentially reaching an average of 4-5 incidents per year. This prediction assumes that current trends and community characteristics remain relatively stable.
In summary, Mission Hills has maintained a relatively low violent crime rate over the past decade, with aggravated assaults being the most prevalent form of violent crime. The recent spike in 2021 and subsequent decrease in 2022 suggest some volatility in crime rates, which may be influenced by factors not captured in the available data. As the community continues to evolve, ongoing monitoring of these trends will be crucial for maintaining public safety and understanding the changing dynamics of crime in Mission Hills.
