Robbery incidents were rare in Miller. From 2011 to 2016, there were no reported robberies. However, in 2017, there was 1 reported case, resulting in a rate of 1.05 robberies per 1,000 people and accounting for 0.02% of the state's robbery cases. This sudden appearance of robbery in 2017 may warrant attention to prevent it from becoming a trend.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of cases ranged from a high of 6 in 2012 to a low of 0 in 2017. The rate per 1,000 people was highest in 2012 at 9.08 and lowest in 2017 at 0. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault cases peaked at 0.04% in 2012-2014 but dropped to 0% by 2017. This significant decrease in aggravated assaults by 2017 is a positive trend for the community.

There appears to be a moderate correlation between violent crime rates and population density. As the population density increased from 1,005 per square mile in 2011 to 1,247 per square mile in 2017, violent crime incidents initially increased but then decreased. This suggests that other factors beyond population density are influencing crime rates.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next seven years (up to 2029, which we'll refer to as five years from now), we might expect the following:

1. Murder rates are likely to remain at or near zero, given the consistent historical trend. 2. Rape incidents may continue to fluctuate but are unlikely to exceed 2 cases per year based on past patterns. 3. Robbery incidents might occur sporadically, but are not expected to become a significant issue. 4. Aggravated assaults could potentially increase slightly from the 2017 low, but are unlikely to reach the peak levels seen in 2012-2014.

In summary, Miller has demonstrated a generally positive trend in violent crime reduction, particularly in aggravated assaults. The absence of murders and the low incidence of other violent crimes suggest a relatively safe community. However, the fluctuations in rape cases and the recent appearance of robbery indicate areas that may require ongoing vigilance. As the city continues to grow, maintaining these low crime rates will be crucial for the well-being and safety of its residents.