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Violent Crime Trends in Milford, Nebraska: A Small City's Fluctuating Safety Landscape
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Milford, Nebraska, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. With a population of 2,858 in 2022, this small city has experienced fluctuations in both its population and crime rates over the years. The total number of violent crimes has varied, ranging from 0 to 3 incidents annually between 2010 and 2022. During this period, the population grew by approximately 8.8%, from 2,627 in 2010 to 2,858 in 2022.
Murder trends in the city have remained consistently low, with no reported cases throughout the analyzed period from 2010 to 2022. This stability in the absence of murders is particularly noteworthy given the population growth. The murder rate per 1,000 people has remained at zero, and the city has not contributed to the state's murder statistics during this time.
Rape incidents in the city have fluctuated over the years. In 2010, there was one reported case, representing 0.18% of the state's total. The number peaked at two cases in 2011, accounting for 0.34% of the state's total. Subsequently, reported rapes decreased, with one case in 2012 (0.17% of state total), and no reported cases in 2013 and 2017. In 2021 and 2022, there was one reported case each year, representing 0.16% and 0.12% of the state's total respectively. The rape rate per 1,000 people has fluctuated accordingly, from a high of 0.74 in 2011 to 0.35 in 2022.
Robbery incidents have been consistently absent in the city throughout the analyzed period. From 2010 to 2022, there were no reported robbery cases, maintaining a robbery rate of zero per 1,000 people and no contribution to the state's robbery statistics.
Aggravated assault trends show some variation. In 2010, there were no reported cases. In 2011, one case was reported, representing 0.04% of the state's total. The city then experienced periods with no reported assaults in 2012 and 2013. In 2017, 2021, and 2022, there was one reported case each year, accounting for 0.05%, 0.07%, and 0.03% of the state's total respectively. The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people has fluctuated between 0 and 0.37 during this period.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a weak relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 3,231 per square mile in 2010 to 3,515 in 2022, violent crime incidents remained low but variable. There's also a potential correlation between median rent and crime rates. As median rent increased from $498 in 2013 to $855 in 2022, there was a slight uptick in reported violent crimes, particularly in the categories of rape and aggravated assault.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), it's anticipated that the city will continue to experience low but potentially fluctuating rates of violent crime. Based on historical patterns, we might expect to see between 1 to 3 violent crime incidents annually, with rape and aggravated assault being the most likely categories to occur.
In summary, Milford has maintained relatively low violent crime rates despite population growth. The absence of murders and robberies, coupled with sporadic incidents of rape and aggravated assault, suggests a generally safe environment. However, the slight increase in violent crimes in recent years, particularly in relation to rising median rents, warrants attention. As the city continues to grow, maintaining community safety initiatives and addressing potential socioeconomic factors influencing crime rates will be crucial for Milford's future security and development.
