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Violent Crime Trends in McIntyre, Georgia: A Decade of Low Incidence
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
McIntyre, Georgia, is a small community that has experienced fluctuations in violent crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes varied between 0 and 2 incidents per year, while the population decreased from 2,005 to 1,378 residents, representing a 31.27% decline.
Murder rates in the city have remained consistently low, with no reported cases throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022. This translates to a murder rate of 0 per 1,000 people, which has remained stable despite population changes. The percentage of state murders attributable to McIntyre has consistently been 0%, indicating that the city has not contributed to the state's murder statistics.
Rape incidents in McIntyre have been rare, with only one reported case in 2012, representing 0.12% of the state's total that year. This equates to a rate of 0.52 rapes per 1,000 people based on the 2012 population. For most other years, including 2022, there were no reported rape cases, resulting in a rate of 0 per 1,000 people. The data for rape is incomplete for several years, which limits comprehensive trend analysis.
Robbery trends in the city show minimal occurrences. There was one robbery reported in both 2010 and 2012, representing 0.02% of the state's total in each of those years. This translates to rates of 0.50 and 0.52 robberies per 1,000 people, respectively. Since 2013, there have been no reported robberies, indicating an improvement in this category of violent crime.
Aggravated assault has been the most common form of violent crime in McIntyre. The number of incidents fluctuated between 0 and 2 per year from 2010 to 2018. The highest number of aggravated assaults (2) occurred in 2013 and 2014, representing 0.02% of the state's total each year and a rate of 1.06 and 1.09 per 1,000 people, respectively. Since 2019, there have been no reported aggravated assaults, suggesting a recent improvement in public safety.
When examining correlations, there appears to be a weak negative correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 386 per square mile in 2010 to 265 in 2022, the overall violent crime incidents also generally decreased, though not consistently. There is insufficient data to draw strong correlations with median income or ownership percentages.
Regarding race distribution, the data shows that the Black population percentage increased slightly from 42% in 2013 to 46% in 2022, while the White population percentage remained relatively stable around 50%. However, there is no clear correlation between these demographic shifts and violent crime trends.
Applying predictive models based on the recent trend of zero violent crimes since 2019, it is forecasted that McIntyre may continue to experience very low to no violent crime incidents over the next five years, potentially maintaining this trend through 2029. However, this prediction should be interpreted cautiously due to the small sample size and historical fluctuations.
In summary, McIntyre has shown a generally positive trend in violent crime reduction over the past decade. Despite population decline, the city has managed to maintain low crime rates, with recent years showing no reported violent crimes across all categories. This trend, if sustained, suggests that McIntyre may continue to be a relatively safe community in the coming years, though ongoing vigilance and community-based crime prevention efforts will be crucial to maintaining this positive trajectory.
