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Violent Crime Trends in Maysville, Georgia: A Decade of Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Maysville, located in Georgia, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. Over the years from 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes has fluctuated, with a peak of 9 incidents in 2012 and several years reporting zero violent crimes. The population has shown overall decline, decreasing from 3,777 in 2010 to 3,330 in 2022, a 11.8% reduction.
Examining murder trends, there were no reported cases of murder and nonnegligent manslaughter throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022. This consistent absence of murders is particularly noteworthy given the population fluctuations. The murder rate per 1,000 people remained at zero, and the percentage of state crime for this category was consistently 0.0%. This suggests that the city has maintained a remarkably safe environment in terms of the most serious violent crime.
Rape incidents in the city have been sporadic and rare. Only one case was reported in 2017, representing 0.09% of the state's total rape cases that year. With a population of 4,059 in 2017, this translates to a rate of 0.25 rapes per 1,000 people. The infrequency of reported rapes makes it difficult to establish a clear trend, but it's evident that such crimes are not a persistent issue in the community.
Robbery follows a similar pattern to rape, with only one incident reported in 2017, accounting for 0.02% of the state's robberies that year. This single occurrence resulted in a rate of 0.25 robberies per 1,000 people. The absence of robberies in all other years indicates that this type of crime is not a significant concern for the city's residents.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city, though still occurring at low rates. The highest number of aggravated assaults was recorded in 2012 with 9 incidents, representing 0.08% of the state's total. In 2012, with a population of 3,672, this equated to 2.45 assaults per 1,000 people. The trend has been inconsistent, with years of zero incidents (2016, 2017, 2019, 2021, 2022) interspersed with years of 1-3 incidents. The most recent data shows a decline, with no aggravated assaults reported in 2021 and 2022.
When examining correlations, there appears to be a weak inverse relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 811 per square mile in 2010 to 715 in 2022, there was a general trend of fewer violent crimes, though this correlation is not strong enough to be definitive. The racial composition of the city, predominantly white (ranging from 85% to 93% over the years), does not show a clear correlation with crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on the recent trends, it's projected that the city will likely maintain its low violent crime rates over the next five years, extending to 2029. The sporadic nature of violent crimes in recent years suggests that while isolated incidents may occur, they are unlikely to become a persistent problem. The consistent absence of murders and the rarity of other violent crimes indicate a continuation of this trend.
In summary, Maysville has demonstrated a remarkably low and declining trend in violent crimes over the past decade. The most significant discoveries include the complete absence of murders, the rarity of rape and robbery incidents, and the overall decrease in aggravated assaults. These trends, combined with the declining population, suggest that the city has maintained and even improved its safety profile over time. As we look towards the future, Maysville appears poised to continue as a community with minimal violent crime concerns.
