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Violent Crime Trends in Maysville: A Decade of Fluctuations and Recent Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Maysville, located in North Carolina, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. Over the years from 2010 to 2022, the city has experienced fluctuations in both its violent crime rates and population. The total number of violent crimes varied from a peak of 4 incidents in 2016 to no reported incidents in some years, including 2022. Meanwhile, the population decreased from 2,006 in 2010 to 1,596 in 2022, a 20.4% decline.
Examining murder trends, Maysville has maintained a consistent record of zero murders throughout the reported period from 2010 to 2022. This stability in the absence of murders is noteworthy, especially considering the population decline. The murder rate per 1,000 people has remained at 0, and the percentage of state crime for murder has consistently been 0% as well. This suggests that despite demographic changes, the city has managed to avoid lethal violence.
Rape incidents in the city have been sporadic and infrequent. In 2010, there was one reported rape, representing 0.09% of the state's total. However, for most of the subsequent years, including 2022, there were no reported rapes. The rape rate per 1,000 people was approximately 0.5 in 2010 when the incident occurred, but has since remained at 0. This indicates a generally low incidence of reported sexual violence in the community.
Robbery trends show minimal occurrences. The city reported one robbery in 2012, 2014, and 2015, each representing about 0.01% to 0.02% of the state's total robberies. The robbery rate per 1,000 people during these years was approximately 0.5. In recent years, including 2022, no robberies were reported, suggesting a potential improvement in this area of violent crime.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in Maysville. The number of aggravated assaults fluctuated, with peaks of 4 incidents in 2018 (0.03% of state total) and 2 incidents in several years including 2010, 2012, 2014, and 2016. The rate per 1,000 people ranged from about 1 to 2 during these peak years. However, by 2022, no aggravated assaults were reported, indicating a positive trend in recent years.
When examining correlations, there appears to be a weak relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 2,342 per square mile in 2010 to 1,863 in 2022, violent crime incidents also generally declined, but not in a consistent pattern. The racial distribution shows some correlation with crime trends. For instance, the percentage of white residents increased from 50% in 2013 to 60% in 2022, coinciding with a general decrease in violent crimes. However, this correlation should be interpreted cautiously as other factors may be involved.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continuation of the recent low crime rates. Based on the data showing zero violent crimes in 2022 and the declining trend in previous years, it's projected that Maysville may maintain very low to zero violent crime rates in the coming years, assuming current conditions persist.
In summary, Maysville has shown a generally positive trend in violent crime reduction over the past decade. The most significant discovery is the consistent absence of murders and the recent years with no reported violent crimes across all categories. This trend, coupled with the population decline, suggests that Maysville has become increasingly peaceful in recent years, potentially making it a safer community for its residents.
