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Violent Crime Trends in Marysville, Ohio: Automotive City's Decade of Change
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Marysville, Ohio, a city known for its Honda manufacturing plant and growing population, has experienced fluctuating violent crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes increased from 14 to 17, representing a 21.4% increase. During the same period, the population grew from 28,861 to 34,231, a 18.6% increase, indicating that crime growth slightly outpaced population growth.
Murder rates in the city have remained consistently low, with zero reported cases throughout the analyzed period from 2010 to 2022. This stability in murder rates, despite population growth, suggests a consistently safe environment in terms of homicides. The murder rate per 1,000 people has remained at 0, and the city has consistently accounted for 0% of the state's murders.
Rape incidents have shown significant fluctuation over the years. In 2010, there were 9 reported cases, which decreased to 0 in 2015, but then rose again to 11 cases in 2022. The rape rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.31 in 2010 to 0.32 in 2022, showing a slight increase. The city's percentage of state rape cases fluctuated, peaking at 0.34% in 2010 and settling at 0.28% in 2022. This trend suggests that while the absolute number of rapes has increased, the rate relative to population has remained fairly stable.
Robbery trends show a general decrease over time. In 2010, there were 2 reported robberies, which peaked at 4 in 2011 and 2014, before decreasing to 1 in 2022. The robbery rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.07 in 2010 to 0.03 in 2022. The city's percentage of state robberies fluctuated between 0.01% and 0.04%, ending at 0.02% in 2022. This downward trend in robberies is a positive indicator for public safety.
Aggravated assault cases have shown an overall increase. In 2010, there were 3 reported cases, which peaked at 9 in 2013, and settled at 5 in 2022. The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people increased slightly from 0.10 in 2010 to 0.15 in 2022. The city's percentage of state aggravated assaults has remained relatively low, fluctuating between 0.01% and 0.10%, ending at 0.03% in 2022. This trend suggests a growing concern for violent confrontations in the city.
There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 1,773 per square mile in 2010 to 2,102 in 2022, the total number of violent crimes also increased. However, the relationship is not strictly linear, suggesting other factors are at play.
Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's projected that by 2029, Marysville may see a slight increase in violent crimes, potentially reaching around 20-22 incidents per year. This prediction assumes current trends continue and no significant interventions or changes occur.
In summary, Marysville has experienced a complex evolution in its violent crime landscape. While murder rates have remained at zero and robbery rates have decreased, the city has seen increases in rape and aggravated assault cases. These trends, coupled with the city's growing population and increasing density, present both challenges and opportunities for law enforcement and community safety initiatives in Marysville.
