Robbery trends in the city have been relatively low and stable. The highest number of robberies recorded was 2 in both 2010 and 2019, representing 0.02% and 0.05% of the state's total, respectively. Many years saw no robberies at all. The robbery rate per 1,000 people has remained below 0.33 throughout the period, with the highest rate occurring in 2019 at 0.33 per 1,000 residents. This low and stable robbery rate indicates that property crimes of this nature are not a significant concern for the community.

Aggravated assault has been the most consistent form of violent crime in the city. The number of incidents ranged from a low of 1 in 2011 and 2012 to a high of 7 in 2018. The rate per 1,000 people has fluctuated accordingly, peaking at 1.15 per 1,000 in 2018 and settling at 0.38 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's contribution to the state's total aggravated assaults has generally been small, ranging from 0.01% to 0.12% over the years. This suggests that while aggravated assault is the most common violent crime in the city, it remains relatively infrequent compared to state levels.

Examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors reveals some interesting patterns. There appears to be a weak negative correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 4,775 per square mile in 2010 to 3,764 per square mile in 2022, there was a slight overall decrease in violent crime incidents. Additionally, there seems to be a correlation between the racial composition and crime rates. As the white population percentage increased slightly from 94% in 2014 to 95% in 2022, violent crime rates showed some fluctuation but generally remained low.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continuation of the current low crime rates. Based on the historical data and current trends, it's projected that the city will likely maintain its zero murder rate and experience low numbers of rapes and robberies, potentially averaging 1-2 incidents per year for each category. Aggravated assaults may continue to be the most frequent violent crime, with an estimated 3-5 incidents per year.

In summary, Margate City has maintained a relatively low violent crime rate despite population decline. The absence of murders, low robbery rates, and fluctuating but generally low numbers of rapes and aggravated assaults paint a picture of a community that, while not crime-free, experiences less violent crime than many comparable cities. The correlation between demographic changes and crime rates, particularly the slight increase in the white population percentage and the maintenance of low crime rates, suggests a stable community environment. As the city moves forward, maintaining community engagement and preventive measures will be crucial in preserving its low violent crime rates.