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Violent Crime Trends in Manton, Michigan: A Model of Safety in a Small City
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Manton, located in Michigan, presents an intriguing case study for violent crime analysis. With a population of 3,650 as of 2022, this small city has experienced minimal violent crime incidents over the years examined. The total number of violent crimes remained consistently low, with only one reported case in 2011 and zero cases in other years for which data is available. This represents a 100% decrease from 2011 to 2022. During the same period, the population slightly decreased from 3,848 in 2011 to 3,650 in 2022, a 5.1% reduction.
Regarding murder trends, the city has maintained a perfect record with zero murders reported throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2021. This translates to a murder rate of 0 per 1,000 people, which has remained constant despite population fluctuations. The percentage of state crime for murder has consistently been 0%, indicating that Manton has not contributed to Michigan's murder statistics.
The rape statistics show a single incident in 2011, with a rate of 0.26 per 1,000 people. This isolated event accounted for 0.05% of the state's rape cases that year. In all other years with available data (2010, 2019-2021), there were no reported rape cases, resulting in a rate of 0 per 1,000 people and 0% of state crime. This suggests that the 2011 incident was an anomaly rather than a trend.
Robbery figures in Manton have remained at zero throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2021. The robbery rate per 1,000 people has consistently been 0, and the city has not contributed to the state's robbery statistics, maintaining a 0% share of state crime for this category.
Similarly, aggravated assault cases have been nonexistent in Manton from 2010 to 2021. The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people has remained at 0, with no contribution to the state's aggravated assault statistics, consistently showing a 0% share of state crime for this category.
Given the extremely low incidence of violent crimes in Manton, it is challenging to draw meaningful correlations between crime trends and other factors such as population density, median rent, or race distribution. The city's population density has slightly decreased from 2,464 people per square mile in 2011 to 2,338 in 2022, while median rent has increased from $653 in 2013 to $799 in 2022. The racial composition has remained predominantly white, with a slight increase in diversity over time. However, these changes do not appear to have had any significant impact on the already low violent crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests that Manton is likely to maintain its low crime rates. Based on the historical data, which shows zero or near-zero violent crime incidents over an extended period, it is reasonable to project that the city will continue to experience minimal to no violent crimes in the foreseeable future.
In summary, Manton stands out as a remarkably safe community with respect to violent crime. The consistent absence of murders, robberies, and aggravated assaults, coupled with only one isolated rape incident over more than a decade, paints a picture of a city with exceptional public safety. This trend is particularly noteworthy given the slight population decline and changes in economic indicators such as median rent. Manton's ability to maintain such low crime rates could serve as a model for other small cities seeking to ensure the safety and well-being of their residents.
