Robbery trends mirror those of murder and rape, with no reported cases from 2010 to 2022. The robbery rate per 1,000 people and the city's contribution to state robbery statistics have consistently been 0%. This trend holds steady despite the changes in population over the years.

Aggravated assault shows the most notable change among violent crimes in the city. In 2010 and 2012, there were no reported cases. However, in 2011, there was one case of aggravated assault, representing 0.01% of the state's total. The most significant change occurred in 2022, with 8 reported cases of aggravated assault, accounting for 0.03% of the state's total. This increase represents a rise from 0 to 2.02 incidents per 1,000 people between 2012 and 2022.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong relationship between the increase in aggravated assaults and changes in racial demographics. From 2013 to 2022, the Hispanic population increased from 40% to 41%, while the White population rose from 22% to 35%. Concurrently, the Black population decreased from 36% to 23%. These demographic shifts coincide with the rise in aggravated assaults, suggesting a potential correlation.

Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), the number of aggravated assaults could potentially increase to around 12-15 cases annually if current trends continue. However, this prediction assumes a continuation of current demographic and socioeconomic trends.

In summary, Magnolia has experienced a notable increase in violent crime, primarily driven by a rise in aggravated assaults. While murder, rape, and robbery rates have remained at zero, the surge in aggravated assaults from 0 to 8 cases between 2012 and 2022 is significant. This trend, coupled with demographic changes, presents a complex picture of the city's evolving social dynamics and challenges in maintaining public safety.