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Violent Crime Trends in Loyall, Kentucky: A Decade of Minimal Incidents
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loyall, Kentucky, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. With a population of 1,455 in 2022, this small city has experienced fluctuations in both its population and crime rates over the years. The total number of violent crimes has varied, with notable incidents in 2014 and 2016, while the population has shown an overall decline from 1,969 in 2010 to 1,455 in 2022, representing a 26.1% decrease.
Analyzing the murder trends, the city has maintained a consistent record of zero murders throughout the reporting period from 2010 to 2022. This stability in the absence of murders is particularly noteworthy given the population changes. The murder rate per 1,000 people has remained at zero, and the city has not contributed to the state's murder statistics during this time.
Regarding rape cases, Loyall has also reported zero incidents throughout the observed period. This consistent absence of reported rapes is significant, especially considering the population fluctuations. The rape rate per 1,000 people has stayed at zero, and the city has not contributed to the state's rape statistics.
Robbery trends in the city follow the same pattern as murder and rape, with zero reported cases from 2010 to 2022. This absence of robberies has remained constant despite population changes, maintaining a robbery rate of zero per 1,000 people and no contribution to the state's robbery statistics.
Aggravated assault is the only violent crime category that has shown any activity in Loyall. In 2014, there was one reported case of aggravated assault, representing 0.03% of the state's total. This translates to a rate of 0.66 per 1,000 people based on that year's population of 1,522. In 2016, the number increased to two cases, accounting for 0.05% of the state's aggravated assaults, with a rate of 1.20 per 1,000 people given the population of 1,662. However, in all other years, including 2022, the city reported zero aggravated assaults.
Examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, there appears to be a weak relationship between population density and the occurrence of aggravated assaults. The two years with reported assaults (2014 and 2016) had population densities of 5,160 and 5,634 people per square mile, respectively. However, other years with similar or higher densities did not report any violent crimes, suggesting that population density alone is not a strong predictor of violent crime in this city.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), based on the historical data and current trends, it is likely that Loyall will continue to experience very low rates of violent crime. The sporadic nature of aggravated assaults suggests that there may be isolated incidents in future years, but the overall trend points to a continuation of zero or near-zero violent crime rates across all categories.
In summary, Loyall's violent crime profile is characterized by remarkably low rates across all categories, with only isolated incidents of aggravated assault over the past decade. This consistent pattern of minimal violent crime, despite population fluctuations, suggests a relatively safe environment for residents. The city's ability to maintain such low crime rates, particularly in the context of its changing demographics and economic indicators, is a notable aspect of its community profile and may be of interest for further study in urban safety and crime prevention strategies.
