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Violent Crime Trends in Louisburg, NC: A Decade of Fluctuations and Demographic Shifts
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Louisburg, located in North Carolina, has experienced notable fluctuations in violent crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes increased from 7 to 24, representing a 242.86% increase. During this same period, the population grew from 8,233 to 8,107, a slight decrease of 1.53%.
The murder rate in Louisburg has remained relatively low, with sporadic occurrences. In 2011, 2014, 2021, and 2022, there was one murder each year, while other years saw no murders. This translates to a rate of approximately 0.12 murders per 1,000 people in the years when murders occurred. The percentage of state murders attributed to Louisburg fluctuated, with the highest being 0.34% in 2011 and 0.17% in 2022. These figures suggest that while murders are infrequent, they have a noticeable impact on state statistics due to the city's small size.
Rape incidents in the city have been inconsistently reported, with many years showing no data available. However, in 2019, there were 2 reported rapes (0.23 per 1,000 people), representing 0.12% of state rapes. In 2020, this decreased to 1 rape (0.12 per 1,000 people), accounting for 0.06% of state rapes. By 2022, the number increased to 5 rapes (0.62 per 1,000 people), constituting 0.26% of state rapes. This recent spike is concerning and may warrant increased attention to sexual violence prevention.
Robbery trends in the city have fluctuated over the years. In 2010, there were 7 robberies (0.85 per 1,000 people), which peaked at 11 in 2014 (1.45 per 1,000 people). By 2022, robberies had decreased to 1 (0.12 per 1,000 people). The percentage of state robberies attributed to the city ranged from 0.02% in 2022 to 0.17% in 2014. This overall downward trend in robberies is a positive development for public safety.
Aggravated assault cases have shown a general upward trend. In 2010, there were no reported cases, but by 2022, there were 17 cases (2.10 per 1,000 people). The peak was in 2020 with 25 cases (3.01 per 1,000 people). The city's contribution to state aggravated assaults increased from 0% in 2010 to 0.07% in 2022, with a peak of 0.17% in 2018. This rise in aggravated assaults is concerning and may indicate a need for increased community policing and violence prevention programs.
There appears to be a correlation between the increase in violent crimes and changes in racial demographics. From 2013 to 2022, the Black population decreased from 42% to 44%, while the Hispanic population increased from 5% to 13%. During this same period, violent crimes generally increased. Additionally, the median rent rose from $541 in 2013 to $910 in 2022, which could potentially contribute to economic stress and crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends, it's estimated that by 2029 (five years from now), Louisburg may see a continued increase in violent crimes if current trends persist. The total number of violent crimes could potentially reach 35-40 per year, with aggravated assaults likely comprising the majority of these incidents.
In summary, Louisburg has experienced a significant increase in violent crimes over the past decade, particularly in aggravated assaults, while seeing fluctuations in other categories. The rise in violent crimes, coupled with demographic shifts and increasing housing costs, suggests a complex interplay of social and economic factors influencing crime rates. As the city moves forward, addressing these trends through targeted community programs and law enforcement strategies will be crucial for improving public safety and quality of life for its residents.
