Robbery trends show some variability, with numbers ranging from zero to five incidents per year. The highest number of robberies (5) occurred in 2014, resulting in a rate of 1.12 robberies per 1,000 people. The city's contribution to state robbery statistics peaked at 0.13% in 2014 and stood at 0.08% in 2022. Despite occasional spikes, robbery rates have generally remained low, with most years seeing 0-2 incidents, suggesting that property-related violent crimes are not a persistent issue in the city.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in Livingston. The number of assaults fluctuated significantly, from a low of 12 in 2010 to a high of 38 in 2017. The rate per 1,000 people ranged from 2.67 in 2010 to 8.87 in 2017. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics varied, peaking at 0.34% in 2017 and standing at 0.13% in 2022. This data indicates that while aggravated assault remains a concern, its prevalence has been inconsistent over the years.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As population density decreased from 629 per square mile in 2010 to 567 in 2022, there was a general downward trend in violent crime, despite yearly fluctuations. Additionally, the racial composition of the city has shown some correlation with crime trends. The percentage of Black residents decreased from 68% in 2013 to 52% in 2017, corresponding with an increase in violent crime during that period. Conversely, as the Black population percentage increased back to 68% by 2022, violent crime rates stabilized at lower levels.

Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that violent crime rates in Livingston may continue to fluctuate but are likely to remain relatively stable over the next five years (up to 2029). The city can expect to see between 15-25 violent crimes annually, with aggravated assault likely remaining the most common type of violent offense.

In summary, Livingston has experienced varying levels of violent crime over the past decade, with notable fluctuations in aggravated assault cases. While murder and rape incidents have been infrequent, robbery and assault rates have shown more variability. The relationship between population density, racial demographics, and crime rates suggests that socio-economic factors play a role in the city's crime dynamics. As the community continues to evolve, ongoing monitoring and targeted prevention strategies will be crucial in maintaining and improving public safety in Livingston.