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Violent Crime Trends in Lemoore, California: A Decade of Growth and Fluctuation
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Lemoore, located in California, has experienced notable changes in violent crime rates alongside population growth over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes increased from 110 to 125, representing a 13.64% increase. During the same period, the population grew from 26,493 to 29,893, a 12.83% increase.
The murder rate in the city has remained relatively low and stable. From 2010 to 2022, there were only seven reported murders, with most years recording zero incidents. The highest number of murders (3) occurred in 2017, resulting in a rate of 0.10 per 1,000 people. The percentage of state murders attributed to the city has fluctuated, peaking at 0.2% in 2017 but generally remaining below 0.1%. This suggests that while murders are infrequent, they can have a significant impact on the city's crime statistics when they do occur.
Rape incidents have shown some variability over the years. In 2010, there were 11 reported cases, which increased to 20 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people rose from 0.42 in 2010 to 0.67 in 2022. The city's contribution to state rape cases has remained relatively consistent, ranging from 0.14% to 0.17% between 2015 and 2022. This indicates that while the absolute number of rapes has increased, it has largely kept pace with population growth and state-wide trends.
Robbery trends have shown a general decline. In 2010, there were 18 reported robberies, which decreased to 7 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people dropped from 0.68 in 2010 to 0.23 in 2022. The city's percentage of state robberies has also decreased from 0.03% in 2010 to 0.02% in 2022. This suggests a significant improvement in robbery prevention or reporting within the city.
Aggravated assault has shown fluctuations but an overall increase. In 2010, there were 81 reported cases, which rose to 98 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people increased slightly from 3.06 in 2010 to 3.28 in 2022. The city's contribution to state aggravated assaults has remained relatively stable, ranging from 0.08% to 0.18% over the years. This indicates that aggravated assault remains a persistent issue in the city, largely keeping pace with population growth.
There appears to be a correlation between the increase in violent crime and population density. As the population density increased from 3,005 people per square mile in 2010 to 3,391 in 2022, violent crime rates also showed an overall upward trend. Additionally, there seems to be a potential correlation between the rise in median rent (from $973 in 2013 to $1,439 in 2022) and fluctuations in violent crime rates, possibly indicating socioeconomic pressures.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next seven years (up to 2029, which we'll refer to as five years from now), we can anticipate a continued modest increase in overall violent crime rates if current trends persist. The city may see approximately 140-150 violent crimes annually by 2029, with aggravated assaults likely remaining the most common type of violent crime.
In summary, Lemoore has experienced a complex evolution of violent crime patterns over the past decade. While murders remain rare and robberies have decreased, rapes and aggravated assaults have shown increases. The overall violent crime rate has largely kept pace with population growth, suggesting that while the absolute numbers have increased, the per capita rate has remained relatively stable. The correlations between crime rates, population density, and median rent highlight the intricate relationship between demographic changes, economic factors, and public safety in this growing California city.
