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Violent Crime Trends in Leachville, Arkansas: A Decade of Fluctuations
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Leachville, Arkansas, a small city with a population of 3,208 in 2022, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. From 2013 to 2022, this community experienced a 20% increase in total violent crimes, rising from 5 to 6 incidents, while simultaneously undergoing a 5.8% decrease in population, from 3,406 to 3,208 residents.
The city has maintained a consistently low murder rate, with no reported cases throughout the observed period from 2013 to 2022. This stability in the absence of murders is noteworthy, especially considering the population changes. The murder rate per 1,000 people has remained at zero, and the city has not contributed to the state's murder statistics during this time.
Rape incidents in Leachville have fluctuated over the years. In 2013, there was 1 reported case, representing 0.11% of the state's total. The rate peaked in 2020 with 4 cases (0.28% of state total), before decreasing to 1 case in 2022 (0.06% of state total). When adjusted for population, the rape rate per 1,000 people increased from 0.29 in 2013 to 0.31 in 2022, despite the overall decrease in population. This suggests a slight upward trend in the rape rate relative to the city's size.
Robbery trends in Leachville show an interesting pattern. From 2013 to 2021, there were no reported robberies. However, in 2022, the city recorded its first robbery case, accounting for 0.09% of the state's total. This sudden appearance of robbery in the crime statistics is notable, especially given the city's small size. The robbery rate per 1,000 people in 2022 was 0.31, a significant increase from zero in previous years.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent violent crime in Leachville. The number of cases fluctuated from 4 in 2013 (0.06% of state total) to a peak of 11 in 2021 (0.09% of state total), before decreasing to 4 cases in 2022 (0.03% of state total). The rate per 1,000 people increased from 1.17 in 2013 to 1.25 in 2022, indicating a slight upward trend relative to the population size.
There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates in Leachville. As the population density decreased from 773 people per square mile in 2013 to 728 in 2022, there was a general increase in violent crime rates, particularly in aggravated assaults and the emergence of robbery. This suggests that factors other than population density may be influencing crime rates in the city.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can anticipate a potential continuation of the slight upward trend in overall violent crime rates in Leachville. The rate of aggravated assaults may stabilize or show a minor increase, while robbery incidents could become more frequent but still rare. Rape cases are likely to fluctuate but remain a concern. Murder rates are expected to remain at or near zero, barring any significant changes in local conditions.
In summary, Leachville has experienced a complex pattern of violent crime over the past decade. While the overall number of violent crimes has increased slightly, the trends vary significantly by crime type. The emergence of robbery in 2022 and the fluctuations in rape and aggravated assault rates highlight the need for targeted crime prevention strategies. Despite these challenges, the city maintains a relatively low violent crime rate compared to many urban areas, with the absence of murders being a particularly positive aspect of its safety profile.
