Robbery trends show a fluctuating pattern, peaking at 8 incidents in 2017 (2.11 per 1,000 people) and declining to 0 in 2022. The city's contribution to state robbery statistics varied, reaching a high of 0.41% in 2017 before dropping to 0% in 2022. This trend suggests an improvement in robbery prevention or reporting in recent years.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent violent crime in the city, with numbers ranging from 33 in 2013 to 6 in 2021. The rate per 1,000 people peaked at 8.42 in 2013 and dropped to 1.48 in 2021. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics has generally decreased over time, from 0.51% in 2013 to 0.09% in 2022, indicating a positive trend in assault reduction relative to the state.

There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 3,999 per square mile in 2010 to 3,680 in 2022, there was a corresponding decrease in violent crimes. Additionally, there seems to be a relationship between racial demographics and crime rates. As the percentage of Black residents increased from 58% in 2013 to 63% in 2022, there was a general decrease in violent crimes, suggesting that racial composition alone is not a determining factor in crime rates.

Applying predictive models based on the current trends, it is forecasted that by 2029, violent crime rates in Latta may continue to decrease or stabilize at low levels. The murder rate is expected to remain near zero, with occasional incidents possible. Rape cases are predicted to remain infrequent, potentially averaging less than one case per year. Robbery rates are projected to stay low, possibly fluctuating between 0 and 2 incidents annually. Aggravated assaults are likely to stabilize around 5-10 cases per year, maintaining a rate of 1-2.5 per 1,000 residents.

In summary, Latta has shown a general improvement in its violent crime situation over the past decade. The most significant changes include a substantial reduction in aggravated assaults and a near-elimination of murders and rapes in recent years. These trends, coupled with the slight population decrease and changes in demographic composition, suggest that the city has made progress in creating a safer environment for its residents. However, continued vigilance and community-based crime prevention strategies will be crucial to maintain and further improve these positive trends in the coming years.