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Violent Crime Trends in La Puente: A Decade of Fluctuations and Overall Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
La Puente, a city in California, has experienced significant changes in its violent crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes decreased by 28.4%, from 162 to 116 incidents. This reduction occurred alongside a population decline of 6.9%, from 40,337 in 2010 to 37,566 in 2022.
The murder rate in the city has fluctuated over the years, with no clear long-term trend. In 2010, there were 2 murders, which increased to 3 in 2011 and 2012. The number then varied between 0 and 3 annually until 2022, when it stood at 1. The murder rate per 1,000 people remained relatively low, ranging from 0 to 0.08 throughout the period. The city's percentage of state murders fluctuated between 0% and 0.23%, with the highest percentage occurring in 2019. This suggests that while murder rates have varied, they have generally remained a small fraction of the state's total.
Rape incidents in La Puente have shown a concerning upward trend. From 4 reported cases in 2010, the number increased to 16 in 2018, a 300% rise. However, it decreased to 5 cases in 2022. The rape rate per 1,000 people increased from 0.10 in 2010 to 0.40 in 2018, before declining to 0.13 in 2022. The city's percentage of state rapes also increased from 0.06% in 2010 to 0.12% in 2018, indicating that rape incidents in the city grew at a faster rate than the state average during this period.
Robbery cases have shown a general declining trend. In 2010, there were 49 robberies, which decreased to 35 in 2022, a 28.6% reduction. The robbery rate per 1,000 people decreased from 1.21 in 2010 to 0.93 in 2022. The city's percentage of state robberies remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 0.07% and 0.12% over the years, suggesting that the city's robbery trends generally aligned with state-wide patterns.
Aggravated assault cases have shown some fluctuation but with a slight overall decrease. From 107 cases in 2010, the number dropped to 75 in 2022, a 29.9% decrease. The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people decreased from 2.65 in 2010 to 2.00 in 2022. The city's percentage of state aggravated assaults remained relatively stable, ranging between 0.07% and 0.14%, indicating that the city's trends in this category generally mirrored state-wide patterns.
There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 11,596 people per square mile in 2010 to 10,799 in 2022, the overall violent crime rate also decreased. Additionally, there seems to be a correlation between the Hispanic population percentage and violent crime rates. As the Hispanic population decreased from 86% in 2013 to 81% in 2022, the violent crime rate also showed a general decline.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can expect the overall violent crime rate to continue its downward trend, potentially reaching around 100 incidents per year. However, this prediction assumes that current demographic and socioeconomic trends continue.
In summary, La Puente has seen a general decrease in violent crimes over the past decade, with notable reductions in robberies and aggravated assaults. However, the city has experienced concerning fluctuations in murder rates and an increase in rape incidents, particularly between 2010 and 2018. These trends, coupled with the correlations observed with population density and demographic changes, suggest that ongoing community-based crime prevention strategies and targeted interventions may be necessary to maintain and improve public safety in La Puente.
