Robbery trends in Knob Noster have been minimal. The city reported only two instances of robbery throughout the entire period, both occurring in 2011. This resulted in a rate of approximately 0.48 robberies per 1,000 residents for that year. The percentage of state crime for robbery peaked at 0.03% in 2011 and has remained at 0% for all other years, suggesting that robbery is not a prevalent issue in the city.

Aggravated assault has been the most common form of violent crime in Knob Noster. The number of cases has fluctuated over the years, ranging from a low of 2 in 2018 to a high of 10 in 2015. The rate per 1,000 residents has varied accordingly, with the highest rate of 2.35 per 1,000 in 2015 and the lowest of 0.57 per 1,000 in 2018. The percentage of state crime for aggravated assault has generally remained low, peaking at 0.06% in 2015 and dropping to 0.01% in 2018.

When examining correlations, there appears to be a weak relationship between population density and violent crime rates. For instance, in 2015, when the population density was 1,476 per square mile, the city experienced its highest number of violent crimes (10). However, this correlation is not consistent across all years, as other years with similar population densities did not see comparable crime rates.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), based on the historical data and recent trends, it's projected that Knob Noster may continue to see fluctuations in violent crime rates. The city might experience occasional spikes in specific crime categories, particularly aggravated assault, which has been the most prevalent form of violent crime. However, given the overall low crime rates and the absence of consistent upward trends, it's anticipated that violent crime levels will remain relatively low compared to larger urban areas.

In summary, Knob Noster has maintained relatively low violent crime rates over the past decade, with aggravated assault being the primary concern. The absence of murders and the infrequent occurrence of robberies contribute to a generally safe environment. However, the recent spike in rape cases in 2021 warrants attention and may require focused prevention efforts. As the city continues to grow and evolve, maintaining community safety initiatives and law enforcement strategies will be crucial in preserving the low violent crime rates that have characterized Knob Noster in recent years.