Robbery trends in the city have been relatively stable with some fluctuations. The number of robberies ranged from 6 to 20 annually, with the highest count in 2015. The robbery rate per 1,000 people peaked at 1.67 in 2015 and was at its lowest at 0.26 in 2022. The city's contribution to state robbery rates varied, reaching a high of 0.35% in 2015 but dropping to 0.1% in 2022. This indicates that while robbery remains a concern, its prevalence has decreased in recent years.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent violent crime in the city. The number of cases ranged from 16 in 2012 to 85 in 2015, before decreasing to 36 in 2022. The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people peaked at 7.08 in 2015 and was at its lowest at 1.3 in 2012. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault rates fluctuated, reaching a high of 0.56% in 2014 but dropping to 0.21% in 2022. This trend suggests that while aggravated assault remains a significant issue, there has been improvement in recent years.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 1,783 per square mile in 2010 to 1,631 in 2022, there was a corresponding overall decrease in violent crimes. Additionally, the racial composition of the city has remained relatively stable, with the white population consistently comprising about 76-82% of the total, which doesn't show a strong correlation with crime rate fluctuations.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), based on the decreasing trend observed from 2015 to 2022, we can expect a continued gradual decline in overall violent crime rates. The model suggests that by 2029, the total number of violent crimes could potentially decrease to around 35-40 annually, assuming current socioeconomic conditions and law enforcement efforts remain consistent.

In summary, Kennett has experienced significant fluctuations in violent crime rates over the past decade, with an overall decreasing trend in recent years. While rape incidents have shown some increase, other violent crimes, particularly aggravated assault, have seen notable reductions. The city's contribution to state crime rates has generally decreased across most categories. These trends, coupled with the declining population density, suggest that local law enforcement strategies may be having a positive impact on crime reduction. However, continued vigilance and community-based crime prevention efforts will be crucial in maintaining and improving upon these trends in the coming years.