Loading Content...
Violent Crime Trends in Kearny, New Jersey: A Decade of Decline Amidst Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Kearny, New Jersey, a densely populated community in Hudson County, has experienced a significant decrease in violent crime from 2010 to 2022. During this period, the total number of violent crimes dropped by 45.3%, from 86 to 47, while the population grew by 2.3%, from 40,230 to 41,157 residents. This analysis examines the trends in various violent crime categories and their correlation with demographic changes.
Murder rates in Kearny have remained consistently low throughout the examined period. Most years reported zero murders, with exceptions in 2013, 2017, and 2022, each recording a single case. These isolated incidents resulted in a murder rate of 0.024 per 1,000 residents in the respective years. Despite these occurrences, the overall murder trend in Kearny remains stable and low.
Rape incidents in Kearny have fluctuated over the years without a clear trend. The highest number of reported cases was 3 in 2010, 2011, and 2012, with a rate of approximately 0.074 per 1,000 residents. In recent years, reported rapes have decreased, with zero cases in 2015, 2019, and 2022. This decline may suggest improved safety or potentially reflect changes in reporting practices.
Robbery in Kearny has shown a significant downward trend overall, despite a slight increase in recent years. In 2010, there were 30 robberies (0.75 per 1,000 residents), representing 0.36% of state robberies. By 2022, this number increased to 33 robberies (0.80 per 1,000 residents), accounting for 1.37% of state robberies. The peak was in 2012 with 53 robberies (1.30 per 1,000 residents). The data suggests that while robberies slightly increased in Kearny, they decreased more dramatically at the state level.
Aggravated assault cases in Kearny have fluctuated but show an overall decreasing trend. In 2010, there were 53 cases (1.32 per 1,000 residents), representing 0.61% of state cases. By 2022, this dropped to 13 cases (0.32 per 1,000 residents), accounting for only 0.23% of state cases. The highest number was recorded in 2014 with 46 cases (1.11 per 1,000 residents), representing 0.72% of state cases.
A strong correlation exists between the Hispanic population growth and the overall decrease in violent crimes in Kearny. As the Hispanic population increased from 43% in 2013 to 55% in 2022, total violent crimes decreased from 78 to 47 during the same period. Conversely, as the white population decreased from 45% to 32%, violent crimes also declined, suggesting that demographic shifts may influence crime trends.
Applying predictive models based on current trends, it's forecasted that by 2029, Kearny may see a further reduction in violent crimes by approximately 20-25%. This projection suggests that the total number of violent crimes could decrease to around 35-38 annually.
In conclusion, Kearny has experienced a significant overall reduction in violent crimes from 2010 to 2022, despite a slight population increase. The most notable improvements have been in aggravated assaults and robberies. While certain types of crimes like murder remain rare occurrences, the city has shown resilience in maintaining low crime rates. The changing demographic landscape, particularly the growth of the Hispanic population, appears to correlate with these positive trends in crime reduction. As Kearny continues to evolve, these trends suggest a potentially safer future for its residents.
