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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Junction City, Kentucky, a small urban area with a population of 4,780 as of 2022, has experienced remarkably low violent crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the city saw only minor fluctuations in violent crime incidents, ranging from 0 to 2 per year, while its population decreased slightly by 4.7% from 5,018 to 4,780.
Throughout the recorded period from 2010 to 2022, Junction City maintained a consistent pattern of zero murder incidents. This translates to a murder rate of 0 per 1,000 people, which remained unchanged despite minor population fluctuations. The city's contribution to Kentucky's murder statistics has consistently been 0%, indicating that Junction City has not been a factor in the state's overall murder rates during this time.
Similarly, rape incidents in the city have also maintained a constant rate of zero throughout the analyzed period. This translates to a rape rate of 0 per 1,000 people, which has held steady regardless of population changes. The city's contribution to Kentucky's rape statistics has consistently been 0%, suggesting that Junction City has not impacted the state's overall rape figures.
Robbery trends in Junction City show minimal fluctuation. In 2010 and 2014, there was one robbery incident each year, while all other years recorded zero robberies. This translates to a robbery rate that peaked at 0.21 per 1,000 people in 2010 and 2014, dropping to 0 in all other years. The city's contribution to the state's robbery statistics was 0.03% in both 2010 and 2014, and 0% in all other years, indicating a very minor and infrequent impact on Kentucky's overall robbery figures.
Aggravated assault trends in the city show some variation. There was one incident each in 2014, 2018, and 2022, with zero incidents in all other years. This translates to an aggravated assault rate that peaked at 0.21 per 1,000 people in these years, dropping to 0 in between. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault statistics was 0.03% in 2014, 0.08% in 2018, and 0.06% in 2022, indicating a very small but occasional impact on Kentucky's overall aggravated assault figures.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, the most notable relationship is with population density. The city's population density has fluctuated between 2,313 and 2,501 people per square mile over the years, with violent crimes occurring sporadically during this period. However, the correlation is weak, as violent crimes have occurred in years of both higher and lower population density.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests that Junction City is likely to continue experiencing very low levels of violent crime. Based on the historical data, we might expect to see 0-1 incidents of violent crime per year, with the possibility of occasional spikes to 2 incidents. However, given the small population and historically low crime rates, any single incident can cause significant percentage changes in the crime rate.
In summary, Junction City has maintained remarkably low violent crime rates across all categories over the past decade. The sporadic nature of the few incidents that have occurred makes it challenging to identify strong trends or correlations. The city's contribution to Kentucky's overall violent crime statistics has been minimal, with only occasional, small impacts in specific years. Looking forward, residents can expect the city to continue its pattern of very low violent crime rates, barring any significant changes in local conditions or broader regional trends.