Loading Content...
Violent Crime Trends in Huntsville, Missouri: A Decade of Low Incidence
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Huntsville, Missouri, a small city with a population of 2,701 as of 2022, has experienced fluctuations in violent crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2019, the total number of violent crimes ranged from 0 to 7 incidents per year, while the population slightly decreased from 2,959 to 2,852 during the same period.
The murder rate in the city has remained consistently at zero throughout the recorded period from 2010 to 2019. This stability in the absence of murders is notable, especially considering the small population size. The murder rate per 1,000 people has consequently remained at 0, and the city has not contributed to the state's murder statistics during this time.
Rape incidents in Huntsville have been rare, with only one reported case in 2011. This single incident represented 0.09% of the state's total rape cases for that year. The rape rate per 1,000 people was approximately 0.36 in 2011, based on the population of 2,741 that year. In all other recorded years, there were no reported rape cases, indicating a generally low incidence of this crime in the city.
Robbery trends in Huntsville show a consistent pattern of zero incidents from 2010 to 2019. This absence of robberies suggests a relatively safe environment in terms of this particular crime category. The robbery rate per 1,000 people has remained at 0, and the city has not contributed to the state's robbery statistics during the observed period.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of aggravated assaults fluctuated over the years, with a peak of 7 incidents in 2012, representing 0.05% of the state's total. In other years, the numbers ranged from 0 to 2 incidents. The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people reached its highest in 2012 at approximately 2.41, based on the population of 2,909 that year. In more recent years (2015-2019), the rate has stabilized at around 0.68 to 0.70 per 1,000 people, with 2 incidents per year, except for 2019 when it dropped to 0.35 per 1,000 with 1 incident.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a weak inverse relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 1,277 per square mile in 2010 to 1,230 in 2019, the overall violent crime incidents showed a slight increase. However, this correlation is not strong enough to draw definitive conclusions.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's challenging to forecast with high accuracy due to the low number of incidents and fluctuations. However, if current trends continue, we might expect the violent crime rate to remain relatively stable, with potentially 1-2 incidents per year, primarily aggravated assaults, in the next five years (up to 2029).
In summary, Huntsville has maintained a relatively low violent crime rate over the past decade, with aggravated assault being the primary concern. The absence of murders and robberies, along with the rare occurrence of rape, suggests a generally safe environment. However, the small population size means that even minor fluctuations in crime numbers can significantly impact the per capita crime rates. The city's law enforcement and community efforts appear to have been effective in maintaining a low violent crime profile, but ongoing vigilance will be crucial to sustain this trend in the coming years.
