Rape incidents have shown some fluctuation but remain relatively low. The highest number of reported rapes was 7 in both 2011 and 2012, representing 0.12% of the state's total each year. This translates to a rate of about 1.62 rapes per 1,000 people in those years. By 2022, the number had decreased to 1 reported rape, or 0.01% of the state's total, equivalent to about 0.18 rapes per 1,000 people. This represents a significant decrease in both absolute numbers and per capita rates.

Robbery incidents have been rare in the city. The data shows only two years with reported robberies: 1 in 2014 and 1 in 2015. These incidents represented a negligible percentage of the state's total robberies. With such low numbers, the robbery rate per 1,000 people has remained close to zero throughout the period.

Aggravated assault has been the most common form of violent crime in the city, but numbers have decreased over time. The highest number of aggravated assaults was 5 in 2011, representing 0.01% of the state's total. This equates to about 1.16 assaults per 1,000 people. By 2022, this had decreased to 1 incident, or less than 0.01% of the state's total, equivalent to about 0.18 assaults per 1,000 people. This represents a significant decrease in both absolute numbers and per capita rates.

There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 1,580 people per square mile in 2010 to 2,052 in 2022, the overall violent crime rate decreased. This suggests that the city has managed to maintain relatively low crime rates despite increasing urbanization.

The racial demographics of the city have remained relatively stable, with a slight increase in the white population from 84% in 2013 to 89% in 2022. This stability in racial composition does not seem to have a strong correlation with violent crime trends.

Applying predictive models based on the current trends, it's projected that violent crime rates will continue to remain low over the next five years, potentially stabilizing at around 2-3 incidents per year by 2029. However, this prediction should be interpreted cautiously given the small numbers involved and the potential for significant percentage changes with small absolute changes in crime numbers.

In summary, Huntington has experienced a notable decrease in violent crime rates over the past decade, despite significant population growth. The city has maintained very low rates of murder and robbery, with slight fluctuations in rape and aggravated assault incidents. These trends, combined with increasing population density, suggest that the city has been effective in managing public safety as it has grown. The consistent low crime rates position Huntington as a relatively safe small city in Texas, with positive implications for community well-being and development.