Loading Content...
Violent Crime Trends in Hughes Springs: A Decade of Fluctuations and Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Hughes Springs, located in Texas, presents an interesting case study for violent crime trends. Over the years from 2011 to 2022, the city experienced fluctuations in both its violent crime rates and population. The total number of violent crimes decreased from 7 in 2011 to 1 in 2022, representing an 85.7% reduction. During this same period, the population decreased slightly from 4,373 in 2011 to 3,847 in 2022, a 12% decline.
Murder trends in the city have been relatively stable, with only one reported case in 2011. This single incident represented 0.23% of the state's murders that year. Since then, there have been no reported murders, indicating a consistent 0 per 1,000 people rate from 2012 to 2022. This suggests a very low murder rate relative to the population and a minimal contribution to state-wide murder statistics.
Rape incidents in the city have been extremely rare. Only one case was reported in 2014, representing 0.01% of the state's total. This translates to a rate of 0.24 per 1,000 people for that year. With no other reported cases in the available data, the rape rate has effectively been 0 per 1,000 people for most of the observed period, indicating a very low incidence of this crime in the community.
Robbery trends show minimal occurrences. There was one reported robbery in 2011, but none in subsequent years with available data. This single incident in 2011 represented a rate of 0.23 per 1,000 people. The absence of robberies in later years suggests an improvement in this area of public safety.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of cases fluctuated over the years, peaking at 10 incidents in 2012 (2.47 per 1,000 people) and dropping to 1 incident in 2022 (0.26 per 1,000 people). The percentage of state crimes for aggravated assault ranged from 0.02% in 2012 to 0% in 2022, indicating a generally low contribution to state-wide statistics. The overall trend shows a decrease in aggravated assaults, which is positive for the community's safety.
There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 1,754 people per square mile in 2011 to 1,543 in 2022, there was a general downward trend in violent crimes. This suggests that lower population density may be associated with reduced violent crime in this particular city.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that the violent crime rate in Hughes Springs will likely remain low over the next five years (up to 2029). The trend suggests that aggravated assaults may continue to be the primary form of violent crime, but at relatively low levels. The city may experience between 0-3 violent crimes annually, maintaining a rate below 1 per 1,000 residents.
In summary, Hughes Springs has shown a generally positive trend in violent crime reduction over the observed period. The most significant improvement has been in aggravated assaults, while other forms of violent crime have remained consistently low or non-existent. The correlation between decreasing population density and reduced crime rates suggests that the city's demographic changes may have played a role in improving public safety. As the community looks towards the future, maintaining these low crime rates will be crucial for the overall well-being and attractiveness of Hughes Springs.
