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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Hubbard, Ohio, a small community covering 4.03 square miles, has experienced notable fluctuations in violent crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes decreased by 21.05%, from 19 to 15 incidents. During this same period, the population declined by 9%, from 9,753 to 8,875 residents.
The murder rate in this city has remained consistently at zero throughout the recorded period from 2010 to 2022. This stability is particularly noteworthy given the population decline, maintaining a murder rate of 0 per 1,000 people. The city's contribution to the state's murder statistics has consistently been 0%, indicating a remarkably safe environment in terms of homicides.
Rape incidents have shown some variability over the years. In 2010, there were 2 reported cases, which decreased to 1 in 2011 and 2012. The rate fluctuated between 0 and 3 cases per year, with 3 cases reported in 2022. When adjusted for population, the rate increased from 0.21 per 1,000 people in 2010 to 0.34 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's percentage of state rape cases has risen from 0.07% in 2010 to 0.08% in 2022, indicating a slight increase in the city's contribution to state figures.
Robbery trends show a general decline. From 6 cases in 2010, robberies decreased to just 1 case in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people dropped from 0.62 in 2010 to 0.11 in 2022. The city's share of state robberies fell from 0.04% to 0.02% over this period, suggesting improved safety regarding this crime category.
Aggravated assault cases have remained relatively stable, with some fluctuations. There were 11 cases in 2010 and 11 cases in 2022. However, due to population decline, the rate per 1,000 people increased slightly from 1.13 in 2010 to 1.24 in 2022. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault cases decreased marginally from 0.09% to 0.06%, indicating a relatively consistent level of this crime type.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 2,420 per square mile in 2010 to 2,203 in 2022, the overall violent crime rate also showed a general downward trend. Additionally, there's a notable correlation between the city's racial composition and crime rates. As the white population percentage slightly decreased from 95% in 2013 to 94% in 2022, there was a marginal increase in diversity, coinciding with some fluctuations in crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on current trends, it's projected that by 2029, the city may experience a slight increase in overall violent crimes to approximately 17-18 incidents annually. This forecast assumes current demographic and socioeconomic trends continue.
In summary, Hubbard has maintained a relatively stable violent crime environment over the past decade, with some positive trends in certain categories like robbery. The consistent absence of murders and the generally low crime rates, despite some fluctuations, suggest a relatively safe community. However, the slight upward trends in rape and aggravated assault rates, when adjusted for population decline, warrant continued attention from local law enforcement and community leaders to maintain and improve public safety.