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Violent Crime Trends in Hoxie, Arkansas: A Decade of Fluctuations and Stability
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Hoxie, located in Arkansas, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. From 2013 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated, starting at 6 in 2013, peaking at 12 in 2020 and 2021, and then decreasing to 5 in 2022. This represents a 16.67% decrease over the period. Concurrently, the population decreased from 2,761 in 2013 to 2,210 in 2022, a 19.96% reduction.
The murder rate in Hoxie has remained consistently at zero from 2013 to 2022, with no reported cases throughout this period. This statistic is particularly notable given the population decline, as it indicates that the city has maintained a murder-free environment despite demographic changes. The percentage of state murders attributed to Hoxie has consequently remained at 0% throughout the decade.
Rape incidents in the city have shown fluctuation over time. In 2013, there were 2 reported cases, rising to a peak of 5 in 2015, and then decreasing to 1 in 2022. The rape rate per 1,000 people increased from 0.72 in 2013 to 0.45 in 2022, despite the lower number of cases, due to the population decrease. The percentage of state rapes attributed to Hoxie has varied, peaking at 0.43% in 2015 and dropping to 0.06% in 2022. This suggests that while the absolute number of rapes has decreased, the city's contribution to state-wide rape statistics has remained relatively low but variable.
Robbery in Hoxie has been virtually non-existent, with only one reported case in 2013 and zero cases in all other years from 2014 to 2022. This translates to a robbery rate that dropped from 0.36 per 1,000 people in 2013 to 0 in subsequent years. The city's contribution to state robbery statistics has been negligible, accounting for 0.05% of state robberies in 2013 and 0% thereafter.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent violent crime in Hoxie. The number of cases rose from 3 in 2013 to a peak of 11 in 2020 and 2021, before decreasing to 4 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people increased from 1.09 in 2013 to 1.81 in 2022, indicating a higher prevalence relative to the population. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics has fluctuated, peaking at 0.09% in 2020 and 2021, and dropping to 0.03% in 2022.
There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 414 per square mile in 2013 to 331 in 2022, the overall violent crime rate per 1,000 people increased from 2.17 to 2.26. This suggests that despite a lower population, the concentration of violent crimes has slightly increased.
The racial composition of Hoxie has shown a slight shift, with the white population decreasing from 92% in 2013 to 88% in 2022, while the percentage of residents identifying as two or more races increased from 4% to 6%. This demographic change coincides with the fluctuations in violent crime rates, although a direct causal relationship cannot be established without further data.
Applying predictive models based on the current trends, it is projected that by 2029 (five years from now), Hoxie may experience a slight decrease in overall violent crime rates if the current downward trend continues. However, given the historical fluctuations, this prediction should be interpreted cautiously.
In summary, Hoxie has maintained a relatively low violent crime rate over the past decade, with no murders, very few robberies, and fluctuating rates of rape and aggravated assault. The most significant trend has been the increase in aggravated assaults relative to the declining population, which warrants attention from local law enforcement and community leaders. The city's contribution to state-wide crime statistics remains minimal, reflecting its small size and relatively stable crime environment.
