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Violent Crime Trends in Howe, Oklahoma: A Small Town's Safety Profile
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Howe, Oklahoma, is a small community with a fluctuating population that has seen varied trends in violent crime over the years. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes ranged from 0 to 4 incidents annually, with no consistent pattern of increase or decrease. During this period, the population experienced overall growth, rising from 1,850 in 2010 to 1,340 in 2022, representing a 27.6% decrease.
Regarding murder trends, Howe has maintained a remarkably low rate, with zero reported murders throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022. This consistent absence of murders means there has been no change in the murder rate per 1,000 people, and the city has consistently contributed 0% to the state's murder statistics. This stability in murder rates suggests a relatively safe environment for residents, despite population fluctuations.
Rape incidents in the city have been extremely rare, with only one reported case in 2020. This single incident resulted in a rate of 0.65 rapes per 1,000 people for that year, based on the estimated population of 1,534.5. The city's contribution to the state's rape statistics jumped to 0.06% in 2020, the only year with a recorded incident. The rarity of such crimes indicates that sexual violence is not a prevalent issue in the community, though the single occurrence warrants attention to prevention measures.
Robbery trends in Howe mirror those of murder, with zero reported incidents from 2010 to 2022. This absence of robberies translates to a consistent 0% contribution to the state's robbery statistics and a robbery rate of 0 per 1,000 people throughout the period. The lack of robberies, despite population changes, suggests a community with minimal property-related violent crime.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city, though occurrences remain low. Incidents were reported in 2013 (1 case), 2016 (1 case), 2017 (1 case), 2018 (2 cases), 2019 (4 cases), and 2022 (1 case). The peak year was 2019, with 4 cases representing a rate of 2.27 assaults per 1,000 people and contributing 0.04% to the state's aggravated assault statistics. The fluctuation in assault cases does not show a clear correlation with population trends, suggesting other factors may influence these incidents.
Examining correlations between violent crime and other metrics, there appears to be a weak positive correlation between population density and aggravated assault cases. For instance, the highest number of assaults (4) occurred in 2019 when the population density was also relatively high at 1,183 people per square mile. However, this correlation is not consistent across all years and should be interpreted cautiously.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), based on the historical data, we might expect: - Murders to remain at zero, continuing the city's trend. - Rape incidents to remain rare, with possibly 0-1 cases in the five-year period. - Robberies to likely remain at zero, following the historical pattern. - Aggravated assaults to fluctuate between 0-4 cases annually, with an average of 1-2 cases per year.
In summary, Howe has maintained a relatively low violent crime rate over the past decade, with aggravated assault being the most common but still infrequent violent crime. The city's contribution to state crime statistics remains minimal across all categories. While there have been fluctuations in violent crime incidents, particularly in aggravated assaults, the overall numbers remain low, suggesting Howe continues to be a relatively safe community with infrequent violent criminal activity.
