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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Holyrood, a small community in Kansas, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. With a population of 620 in 2022, this city has shown remarkable stability in its crime statistics over the years. The total number of violent crimes reported in Holyrood has remained consistently at zero from 2011 to 2019, the years for which data is available. This zero-crime trend persists despite a population growth from 509 in 2011 to 570 in 2019, representing an 12% increase over this period.
In examining the murder rates, we find a consistent pattern of zero incidents reported across all available data points (2011, 2015, and 2019). This absence of murders translates to a rate of 0 per 1,000 people, which has remained unchanged despite population fluctuations. The percentage of state crime for murder also stands at 0% throughout the observed period, indicating that Holyrood has not contributed to the state's murder statistics.
The trend for rape incidents mirrors that of murders, with zero cases reported in 2011, 2015, and 2019. This translates to a rape rate of 0 per 1,000 people, which has held steady regardless of population changes. The city's contribution to the state's rape statistics remains at 0% across all observed years, suggesting a consistently safe environment in this regard.
Robbery statistics in Holyrood follow the same pattern as other violent crimes, with zero incidents reported in 2011, 2015, and 2019. The robbery rate per 1,000 people stands firmly at 0, unaffected by population growth. The city's share of state robbery crimes is consistently 0%, indicating no impact on broader state statistics.
Aggravated assault data for Holyrood shows no reported incidents in 2011, 2015, and 2019. The rate of aggravated assaults per 1,000 people remains at 0 throughout the observed period, despite population changes. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics is consistently 0%, mirroring the trends seen in other violent crime categories.
Given the consistent zero-crime data across all categories of violent crime, there are no strong correlations to be drawn between violent crime trends and other metrics such as population density, median rent, or race distribution. The stability of the crime rate at zero persists regardless of changes in these other factors.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for Holyrood is challenging due to the consistent zero-crime data. Based on the historical trend, it is reasonable to project that the city will likely maintain its low crime rate in the coming years. Forecasting to 2029 (seven years from 2022, presented as five years from now), we anticipate that Holyrood will continue to report minimal to no violent crimes, assuming no significant changes in local conditions or reporting practices.
In summary, Holyrood presents a unique case of a community with consistently reported zero violent crimes over nearly a decade. This remarkable safety record has remained stable despite population growth and changes in other demographic factors. The city's non-contribution to state crime statistics across all violent crime categories underscores its status as an exceptionally safe community within Kansas. While past performance does not guarantee future results, the long-standing trend suggests that Holyrood is likely to maintain its low crime environment in the foreseeable future.