Robbery trends in the city showed a slight fluctuation. From 2010 to 2011, there were no reported robberies. However, in 2012, there was one robbery incident, which represented 0.02% of the state's robbery crimes. This single incident resulted in a rate of approximately 0.72 robberies per 1,000 residents for that year. In 2013 and 2014, the robbery rate returned to zero. This isolated incident in 2012 may have been an anomaly rather than indicative of a broader trend.

Aggravated assault rates in Holt showed some variation over the years. In 2010 and 2011, there was one aggravated assault each year, representing 0.01% of the state's aggravated assaults. The rate per 1,000 residents was approximately 0.65 in 2010 and 0.70 in 2011. In 2012 and 2013, no aggravated assaults were reported. However, in 2014, the number increased to two incidents, accounting for 0.01% of the state's total and a rate of about 1.47 per 1,000 residents. This increase in 2014 is notable, as it occurred despite a lower population compared to earlier years.

When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, a strong relationship is observed with population density. As the population density decreased from 2,953 per square mile in 2010 to 2,616 per square mile in 2014, there was a corresponding fluctuation in violent crime rates, particularly evident in the aggravated assault category. The racial distribution remained relatively constant during this period, with the white population consistently comprising 98-99% of the total, which limits the ability to draw meaningful correlations between race and crime trends.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), based on the limited data available, it's projected that Holt may continue to experience low but potentially fluctuating rates of violent crime. The city might see between 0 to 3 violent crime incidents annually, with aggravated assaults being the most likely category to show variation.

In summary, Holt has maintained relatively low violent crime rates from 2010 to 2014, with no reported murders or rapes, an isolated robbery incident, and fluctuating aggravated assault rates. The most significant trend observed is the variation in aggravated assaults, which showed an increase in 2014 despite a declining population. These findings suggest that while Holt generally maintains a low crime profile, there may be periodic spikes in certain violent crime categories that warrant attention from local law enforcement and community leaders.