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Violent Crime Trends in Hollywood, Alabama: A Decade of Stability and Change
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Hollywood, Alabama, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. With a population of 2,390 in 2022, this small community has experienced notable fluctuations in its violent crime rates over the years. The total number of violent crimes in the town increased from 0 in 2011 to 2 in 2022, representing a significant percentage increase against a backdrop of modest population growth from 2,265 to 2,390 during the same period.
The murder rate in Hollywood has remained consistently at zero throughout the recorded period from 2010 to 2022. This stability is noteworthy, particularly given the small population size where even a single incident could significantly impact the rate. The absence of murders maintains the town's percentage of state murder crimes at 0%, suggesting a relatively safe environment in this respect.
Similarly, rape incidents have not been reported in the available data for Hollywood from 2010 to 2022. This consistent zero rate per 1,000 people and 0% contribution to state rape crimes indicates a positive aspect of public safety in the community.
Robbery trends show a recent emergence, with one incident reported in 2022. This translates to a rate of approximately 0.42 robberies per 1,000 people in 2022. More significantly, this single robbery accounted for 0.08% of all robberies in the state of Alabama that year. This sudden appearance of robbery in the crime statistics warrants attention, as it represents a new concern for a previously robbery-free community.
Aggravated assault has shown some fluctuation over the years. In 2010, there were 2 cases reported, dropping to 0 in 2011, and then rising again to 1 case in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people decreased from approximately 0.81 in 2010 to 0.42 in 2022, despite the slight increase in total incidents. The town's contribution to state aggravated assault cases decreased from 0.03% in 2010 to 0.01% in 2022, indicating a relative improvement compared to state-wide trends.
When examining correlations, a notable relationship emerges between the town's racial composition and violent crime trends. As the white population percentage decreased slightly from 92% in 2019 to 87% in 2022, there was a concurrent increase in violent crimes from 0 to 2. This correlation, while not necessarily causal, coincides with a slight increase in racial diversity in the town.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we might expect a slight increase in overall violent crimes if current trends continue. The emergence of robbery in 2022 and the fluctuation in aggravated assault cases suggest that the town may experience between 2 to 4 violent crimes annually by 2029, assuming no significant changes in population or socioeconomic factors.
In summary, Hollywood has maintained a relatively low violent crime rate over the years, with recent subtle increases warranting attention. The emergence of robbery and the fluctuation in aggravated assault cases, coupled with demographic changes, suggest a dynamic safety landscape that local authorities should monitor closely. Despite these changes, the town's contribution to state-wide violent crime remains minimal, indicating that Hollywood continues to be a comparatively safe community within Alabama.
