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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Holliday, located in Texas, presents an interesting case study for violent crime trends. With a population of 2,902 in 2022 and covering an area of 2.49 square miles, this small city has experienced some fluctuations in violent crime over the years. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes increased from 0 to 4, representing a significant percentage increase. During this same period, the population decreased from 3,328 to 2,902, a decline of about 12.8%.
Regarding murder and nonnegligent manslaughter, the city has maintained a consistent record of zero incidents from 2010 to 2012. This stability in the absence of murders is notable, especially considering the population decline. The murder rate per 1,000 people remained at 0 throughout this period, and the city's contribution to the state's murder statistics was also 0%.
Similarly, rape incidents in Holliday were recorded as 0 from 2010 to 2012. The rape rate per 1,000 people stayed at 0, and the city's percentage of state rape cases was 0% during this time frame. This absence of reported rapes is significant, particularly in the context of the city's small population.
Robbery trends in the city followed the same pattern as murder and rape, with 0 incidents reported from 2010 to 2012. The robbery rate per 1,000 people remained at 0, and the city's contribution to state robbery statistics was 0%. This consistent absence of robberies suggests a relatively safe environment for residents and businesses during this period.
Aggravated assault is the only violent crime category that showed a change in Holliday. From 2010 to 2011, there were no reported cases. However, in 2012, the city recorded 4 aggravated assaults. This increase raised the aggravated assault rate to approximately 1.24 per 1,000 people in 2012, based on the population of 3,214 that year. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault statistics also increased from 0% to 0.01% in 2012.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, the most notable relationship appears to be with population density. As the population density decreased from 1,339 per square mile in 2010 to 1,293 in 2012, the incidence of aggravated assaults increased. This inverse relationship suggests that factors other than population density may be influencing the crime rate.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next seven years (up to 2029, which is five years from now in 2024) is challenging due to the limited data available. However, based on the slight increase in aggravated assaults observed in 2012, we might cautiously predict a potential for further small increases in violent crimes, particularly aggravated assaults, if current trends continue. This prediction assumes that the factors influencing the 2012 increase persist and that no significant changes in law enforcement strategies or community dynamics occur.
In summary, Holliday has maintained a remarkably low violent crime rate from 2010 to 2012, with the exception of a small increase in aggravated assaults in 2012. The city's contribution to state crime statistics remains minimal across all categories of violent crime. While the emergence of aggravated assaults in 2012 warrants attention, the overall violent crime situation in Holliday appears to be stable and relatively low compared to many other urban areas. Continued monitoring and community-based prevention strategies will be crucial in maintaining and potentially improving the city's safety record in the coming years.