Robbery trends in Hinton have been minimal. The city reported one robbery in 2011, representing 0.03% of the state's total robberies that year. No robberies were reported from 2012 to 2021. In 2022, there was one reported robbery, accounting for 0.07% of the state's total. The robbery rate per 1,000 people has remained extremely low, with a rate of approximately 0.32 per 1,000 in 2011 and 0.19 per 1,000 in 2022. This indicates that despite the population growth, the city has maintained a very low incidence of robberies.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of aggravated assaults has fluctuated over the years, with peaks of 3 incidents in 2018 and 4 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people has varied accordingly, from approximately 0.34 per 1,000 in 2010 to 0.77 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault statistics has ranged from 0% in years with no incidents to 0.04% in 2022. While there has been an increase in the number of aggravated assaults, it remains relatively low considering the population growth.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate relationship between population growth and the number of violent crimes, particularly aggravated assaults. As the population increased from 2,952 in 2010 to 5,206 in 2022, the total number of violent crimes also showed an upward trend, peaking at 5 incidents in 2022. The population density increased from 622 per square mile in 2010 to 1,098 per square mile in 2022, which coincides with the increase in violent crimes.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can anticipate a potential continuation of the upward trend in aggravated assaults if current patterns persist. The city might expect to see between 5-7 violent crimes annually, predominantly aggravated assaults, by 2029. However, given the city's history of low crime rates, this projection assumes a moderate increase and could be influenced by various factors.

In summary, Hinton has maintained relatively low violent crime rates despite significant population growth. The most notable trend has been in aggravated assaults, which have shown a slight increase correlating with population growth. Murder rates have remained at zero, while rape and robbery incidents have been infrequent. As the city continues to grow, maintaining these low crime rates will be crucial for the safety and well-being of its residents.