Robbery incidents in High Point have seen a significant decrease, from 220 cases in 2010 to 108 in 2022, a 50.91% reduction. The robbery rate per 1,000 people dropped from 2.122 in 2010 to 0.944 in 2022. However, the city's share of state robberies decreased only slightly from 2.96% to 2.12%, suggesting that while improvements have been made, High Point still contributes a notable portion of the state's robbery cases.

Aggravated assault cases in High Point increased from 358 in 2010 to 479 in 2022, a 33.80% rise. The rate per 1,000 people grew from 3.453 to 4.189 during this period. Despite this increase, the city's percentage of state aggravated assaults decreased from 2.66% to 1.99%, indicating that the growth in assaults may be part of a broader statewide trend rather than a city-specific issue.

There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates in High Point. As the population density increased from 1,821 people per square mile in 2010 to 2,009 in 2022, violent crime rates also rose. Additionally, median rent in the city increased from $739 in 2013 to $1,116 in 2022, which may have implications for economic stress and crime rates.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends, it is estimated that by 2029, High Point may see a continued increase in violent crimes if current trends persist. The total number of violent crimes could potentially reach around 700-750 incidents annually, with aggravated assaults likely remaining the most common type of violent crime.

In summary, High Point has experienced mixed trends in violent crime over the past decade. While robberies have significantly decreased, murders and aggravated assaults have increased. The city's growing population and density appear to correlate with these crime trends. Moving forward, High Point faces challenges in addressing violent crime, particularly in the areas of homicide and assault prevention, while maintaining the progress made in reducing robberies and sexual assaults.