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Violent Crime Trends in Hickman, Kentucky: A Small City's Remarkable Safety Record
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Hickman, located in Kentucky, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. Over the observed period from 2019 to 2021, the city experienced a notable change in its violent crime landscape. In 2019, there were no reported violent crimes, while in 2021, the total number of violent crimes rose to 2. This represents an increase from 0 to 0.73 violent crimes per 1,000 residents. During this same period, the population showed slight fluctuations, decreasing from 2,617 in 2019 to 2,741 in 2021, an overall growth of 4.74%.
The murder rate in Hickman remained stable at zero reported cases in both 2019 and 2021. This consistency is particularly noteworthy given the population changes during this period. The murder rate per 1,000 residents remained at 0, and the city's contribution to the state's total murder cases stayed at 0% throughout the observed years. This stability in the face of population changes suggests effective crime prevention strategies or possibly a naturally low-crime environment.
Similarly, rape incidents in the city showed no change, with zero reported cases in both 2019 and 2021. The rape rate per 1,000 residents remained at 0, and the city's percentage of state rape cases held steady at 0%. This consistency across years, despite population fluctuations, indicates a continued absence of reported sexual violence in the community.
Robbery trends mirrored those of murder and rape, with no reported cases in either 2019 or 2021. The robbery rate per 1,000 residents remained at 0, and Hickman's contribution to state robbery statistics remained at 0%. This sustained absence of robbery cases, even as the population changed, suggests a consistently low risk of property-related violent crime in the area.
Aggravated assault showed the most significant change among violent crimes in Hickman. In 2019, there were no reported cases, but this increased to 2 cases in 2021. This change translates to an increase from 0 to 0.73 aggravated assaults per 1,000 residents. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault cases rose from 0% to 0.03%. This uptick, while small in absolute numbers, represents a notable shift in the city's violent crime landscape, particularly given its small population size.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and demographic factors, a notable relationship emerges with population density. The increase in aggravated assaults coincided with a rise in population density from 737 people per square mile in 2019 to 772 in 2021. This suggests that increased population density may have contributed to the emergence of violent crime, specifically aggravated assaults.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can anticipate a potential continuation of the observed pattern. If current trends persist, Hickman might expect to see a slight increase in aggravated assaults, possibly reaching 3-4 cases annually by 2029. However, given the small numbers involved, even minor fluctuations could significantly impact these predictions.
In summary, Hickman has experienced a noteworthy shift in its violent crime landscape, transitioning from no reported violent crimes in 2019 to the emergence of aggravated assaults in 2021. This change, while small in absolute numbers, represents a significant percentage increase given the city's size. The correlation with increasing population density suggests that community dynamics may be evolving, potentially influencing crime rates. As Hickman continues to grow and change, maintaining vigilance and adapting crime prevention strategies will be crucial in preserving the overall low crime rates that have characterized the city in recent years.
