Robbery trends in the city have been relatively stable, with numbers ranging from 0 to 3 incidents per year. The highest number of robberies (3) occurred in 2016, accounting for 0.01% of the state's total. When adjusted for population, the robbery rate peaked at about 0.16 per 1,000 residents in 2016. The city's contribution to state robbery statistics has consistently remained at or below 0.01%, indicating that robbery is not a major concern relative to state-wide figures.

Aggravated assault has shown more variability, with incidents ranging from 0 to 5 per year. The highest number of aggravated assaults (5) was recorded in 2017, representing 0.01% of the state's total. The population-adjusted rate for aggravated assault reached its peak at approximately 0.27 per 1,000 residents in 2017. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics has generally remained at or below 0.01%, suggesting that while it occurs, it does not significantly impact state-wide figures.

When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, a notable relationship emerges with population density. As the population density increased from 1,999 people per square mile in 2010 to 3,357 in 2022, there was a general upward trend in the total number of violent crimes, albeit with significant year-to-year fluctuations. This suggests that as the city became more densely populated, it experienced a slight increase in violent crime incidents, though the relationship is not perfectly linear.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can anticipate a continuation of the current patterns. Given the relatively low and stable rates of violent crime in relation to the growing population, it's reasonable to expect that the city will maintain its low crime profile. However, if population density continues to increase at its current rate, there may be a slight upward pressure on violent crime numbers, potentially resulting in an average of 5-7 total violent crimes per year by 2029.

In summary, Helotes has maintained a relatively low and stable violent crime rate despite significant population growth. Murder remains exceptionally rare, while other violent crimes occur at low rates compared to state averages. The correlation between population density and violent crime suggests that as the city continues to grow, it may face challenges in maintaining its low crime rates. However, given the current trends, the city is likely to remain a relatively safe community with violent crime rates well below state averages in the foreseeable future.