Loading Content...
Violent Crime Trends in Havana, Florida: A Decade of Improvement Amid Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Havana, Florida, a small community with a population of 7,094 as of 2022, has experienced fluctuating violent crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2019, the total number of violent crimes varied significantly, reaching a peak of 16 incidents in 2012 and dropping to a low of 2 in 2019, representing an 87.5% decrease. During this same period, the population grew from 5,993 in 2010 to 7,346 in 2019, an increase of 22.6%.
The murder rate in the city has remained exceptionally low, with only one recorded incident in 2012. This single case represented 0.17% of the state's murders that year. Given the city's small population, this equates to a rate of 0.16 murders per 1,000 people in 2012. In all other years from 2010 to 2019, there were no reported murders, indicating an overall safe environment in terms of homicide risk.
Rape incidents have been sporadic and infrequent. The data shows two reported cases in 2012 and 2016, representing 0.07% and 0.05% of the state's total rapes respectively. These incidents translate to rates of 0.32 and 0.28 per 1,000 people in those years. The majority of years saw no reported rapes, suggesting that sexual violence is not a persistent issue in the community.
Robbery trends have shown a decline over the years. The highest number of robberies was recorded in 2010 and 2011, with two incidents each year, representing 0.01% of the state's robberies. This equates to a rate of 0.33 robberies per 1,000 people in both years. By 2019, there were no reported robberies, indicating a positive trend in the reduction of this type of crime.
Aggravated assault has been the most common violent crime in the city, but with notable fluctuations. The peak was in 2012 with 12 incidents, representing 0.04% of the state's total. This translates to a rate of 1.9 assaults per 1,000 people. By 2019, this number had decreased to 2 incidents, or 0.27 per 1,000 people, representing a significant improvement in public safety regarding this crime category.
When examining correlations, there appears to be a weak inverse relationship between population growth and violent crime rates. As the population increased from 5,993 in 2010 to 7,346 in 2019, the total violent crime incidents decreased from 6 to 2. However, this correlation is not strong enough to suggest a causal relationship.
The racial demographics of the city have shown some changes that loosely correlate with crime trends. The Black population percentage decreased from 46% in 2019 to 33% in 2022, while the White population increased from 48% to 55% during the same period. This shift coincides with the overall decrease in violent crime, but again, the correlation is not strong enough to imply causation.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that violent crime rates will continue to remain low or potentially decrease further over the next seven years (up to 2029). The city has demonstrated a capacity to maintain low crime rates despite population growth, which bodes well for future safety trends.
In summary, Havana has shown a general trend of decreasing violent crime rates over the past decade, particularly in the categories of robbery and aggravated assault. The community has maintained very low rates of murder and rape throughout the observed period. These trends, coupled with steady population growth, suggest that the city has been effective in managing public safety concerns. As the community continues to evolve, maintaining these positive trends will be crucial for the ongoing well-being and attractiveness of Havana to current and prospective residents.
